Monday, April 23, 2007
NFL Draft Player Predictions
With that being said, we can’t wait for Saturday. We couldn’t be more delighted that our Bears aren’t in the top 10 (because that means we were actually good) and think that this class is good enough where they’ll still be some solid players at picks 31 and 37. While not as good as last year’s draft class, which may go down as one of the best ever, this year’s crop of incoming talent is better then a lot of people realize. Here’s our take on which guys will be good and which guys won’t. We, like everyone else, have been hit or miss on this kind of stuff in the past, but we’re way better then Merrill Hodge (“I wouldn’t draft Vince Young until the 6th round”). So we got that goin’ on for us. These predictions are going to be pretty bold- of course anyone could be good- so forgive us if our hyperbole gets a little out of control.
Guys that will be good.
Calvin Johnson- We’d be shocked if he didn’t turn out to be one of the ten greatest wide receivers ever. Clearly the best player in the draft and in our opinion the best prospect to enter the NFL since Julius Peppers, it shouldn’t matter whether he’s catching passes in Oakland, Tampa, or Atlanta. He will be a star, and should be the league’s best pass catcher by his second or third season.
Brady Quinn- There is not a lot of love going on right now for Quinn, but we think he’s the best quarterback in this class. He doesn’t have much bust potential and dominated his junior season when he had a better offensive line and receiving core that included Maurice Stovall. We’re not too worried about his big game struggles and think he’s a future all-pro.
Joe Thomas- A giant white guy from the Big 10? Of course we love him. If he can avoid injuries,
he should be a pillar on any offensive line for the next 10 to 15 years.
LaRon Landry- Our pick for safest player in the draft after CJ, Landry will have an immediate impact wherever he goes. He’ll develop into a pro bowler and will be one of the leagues top safeties in three years.
Amobi Okoye- All the love Okoye is getting recently is worrying us just a bit, but there’s just too much to like here. A super intelligent 19 year old that seems like a model citizen could develop into a Tommie Harris like defensive tackle.
Adrian Peterson- If he didn’t have durability concerns, we think Peterson would give CJ a run for his money as the top player overall. We think he’ll be a Hall of Famer and he will begin his run of pro bowls in his rookie season. If Peterson slips out of the top 5, teams are going to be kicking themselves for years to come.
Dwayne Jarrett- Saying his pro career will be like Mike Williams’ is pretty much the most asinine statement ever. Who cares if they went to the same school. What does that possibly tell us about Jarrett as a football player? We think he’s the second best receiver in the draft’s deepest position, a future all-pro for sure. We’ve seen a few mocks where he falls to the Bears at pick 37. If that happens, we’d be ecstatic.
Paul Posluszny- Puz has been one of “my guys” the last two seasons and will be a great NFL
player. We like him as much as any of the linebackers drafted last year, with the exception of Ernie Sims.
Anthony Spencer- Spencer wrecked havoc all year on Big 10 offensive lines and should become a double digit sack master in the NFL.
“Second Tier” running backs- We think Michael Bush, Antonio Pittman, and Kenny Irons will all be solid NFL starters. They won’t be as good as Peterson (though Bush might have a chance) but should all be starters in the NFL. None of these players will be drafted in the first round just because running back isn’t really a big need for a lot of teams, but all these dudes will be good.
Guys that won’t be good.
JaMarcus Russell- If Oakland takes him over Calvin, and there is a pretty good chance it happens, we think that would be the type of draft day decision that sets a franchise back five years. Russell’s main trait is his monster right arm- something that didn’t work too well for guys like Kyle Boller and Ryan Leaf.
Leon Hall- Got torched by good receivers like Ted Ginn and Anthony Gonzalez on Ohio State.
He might be drafted ahead of Darrell Revis, but we like Revis better.
Adam Carriker- A giant white guy from the Big 12? Why would we like him. One of our buddies pointed out that the only way he’s above average is playing defensive end in a 3-4 scheme.
Ted Ginn- We’re not saying Ginn is going to totally suck, but here’s the list of receivers in the draft we would take before him: Johnson, Jarrett, Robert Meachem, Dwayne Bowe, Gonzalez, and Craig Davis.
Lawrence Timmons- A workout warrior that really isn’t a workout warrior, Timmons will be a first round pick but we don’t think he’s worth it. He only started one season at Florida State and there are questions about his effort on every play.
Updated April 22
1. Oakland Raiders- WR Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech Johnson going number one would flip everyone’s mock draft upside down. While JaMarcus Russell could still be the pick, the whole organization is not on board with him- not a good sign for a number one pick.
2. Detroit Lions- DE Gaines Adams, ClemsonThis pick will be traded if Johnson is still available with the Redskins, Bucs, and Falcons being the most likely trade partners for Matt Millen. Adams appears to be the Lions guy wherever they’re picking and would be a good fit for their rebuilt defense.
3. Cleveland Browns- QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame This will come down to Brady Quinn vs Adrian Peterson. The Romeo Crennel/Chaz Weiss connections gives BQ the edge.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- OT Joe Thomas, Wisconsin The Bucs would love if Johnson were available, but Thomas would be great pick at four. Other options are Brady Quinn and Amobi Okoye.
5. Arizona Cardinals- S LaRon Landry, LSUThey’re said to love Peterson but can’t possibly take a running back in the first round after giving Edge James over $30 million last offseason. They would take Joe Thomas if he’s available but will settle for Landry, one of the draft’s best players.
6. Washington Redskins- DT Amobi Okoye, LouisvilleThe Skins’ would be wise to trade down considering they don’t have another day 1 pick. If they can’t, Okoye would immediately bolster a defense that underachieved in 2006.
7. Minnesota Vikings- RB Adrian Peterson, OklahomaIt’s tough to see Peterson fall further then seven as a team will probably trade up to get him if he’s still around in this part of the first round. The Vikings need a receiver but Peterson is too good to pass up.
8. Atlanta Falcons- DE Jamaal Anderson, ArkansasFalcons would love to land Calvin Johnson but could also use a pass rusher like Arkansas’ Anderson.
9. Miami Dolphins- QB JaMarcus Russell, LSURussell may go number one but could free fall if he doesn’t. The Dolphins don’t have a quarterback unless they finish a deal for KC’s Trent Green.
10. Houston Texans- MLB Patrick Willis, Ole MissThe Texans would have a tough choice here between Willis and Levi Brown. They devoted their top picks to defense last year and could do it again this time around.
11. San Francisco 49ers- DT Alan Branch, Michigan Branch is said to be falling but would be an ideal fit in San Francisco for a team that likes monsters at defensive tackle.
12. Buffalo Bills- CB Leon Hall, Michigan Dick Jauron’s crew needs a cornerback after losing Nate Clements and a running back after losing Willis McGahee. Hall should be the pick because it’s easier to find a running back in later rounds.
13. St. Louis Rams- WR Ted Ginn Jr., Ohio State The Rams are said to covet Ginn, a dynamic playmaker that could replace an aging Isaac Bruce.
14. Carolina Panthers- TE Greg Olsen, Miami The Panters could use a linebacker but will for a franchise tight end like G-Reg.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers- DE Adam Carriker, NebraskaThey could use a cornerback like Leon Hall or Darrell Revis, but Carriker would be a good fit for their 3-4 defense (assuming they still run a 3-4).
16. Green Bay Packers- RB Marshawn Lynch, California The Packers medical staff cleared Lynch after minor injuries concerns. Running back is clearly their biggest need.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars- S Reggie Nelson, Miami They could take a receiver or linebacker, but safety is also a big need and Nelson is a playmaker.
18. Cincinnati Bengals- LB Jon Beason, Miami Big Beast should have stayed in school, but will still find himself in the first round. Cincinnati may be wary of drafting a player from Miami after all their legal problems.
19. Tennessee Titans- WR Dwayne Jarrett, USCAfter losing Drew Bennett and Bobby Wade (As a Bears fan, I can’t believe I just implied losing Bobby Wade would weaken their passing attack), the Titans need a receiver. Jarrett is more accomplished then either Robert Meachem or Dwyane Bowe.
20. New York Giants- OT Joe Staley, Central MichiganOffensive line has long been a problem for the G-Men who may take a chance on a raw prospect like Staley.
21. Broncos- DE Jarvis Moss, Florida Denver needs a pass rushing d-end and Moss dominated Ohio State in the National Championship.
22. Cowboys- CB Darelle Revis, PittRevis would be a good fit for a Cowboys defense that struggles some in pass coverage. A safety like Nelson or Brandon Meriweather or an o-lineman could also be an option.
23. Chiefs- CB Chris Houston, ArkansasThe Chiefs may take a receiver but Houston is quickly rising up draft boards.
24. Patriots- S Brandon Meriweather, MiamiThe Pats don’t like to take defensive backs early in drafts, but the area has been a weakness for some time.25. Jets- LB Paul Posluszny, Penn State New York fans would love a player like Puz who would immediately start in the Jets’ 3-4. Greg Olsen would also be an option if available.
26. Eagles- WR Robert Meachem, Tennesee The Eagles could use a defensive back but Meachem is too good to pass up. My dad thinks he’ll be better then Calvin Johnson. Worth noting.
27. Saints- S Michael Griffin, TexasThe Saints D overachieved last season but still needs help in the secondary.
28. Patriots- LB Lawrence Timmons, Florida StateTimmons has the type of versatility the Pats covet.
29. Ravens- DE Anthony Spencer, PurdueSpencer could fill the hole left by Adalius Thomas.
30. Chargers- WR Dwayne Bowe, LSUBowe is a great value at this pick and would be a great target for Phillip Rivers.
31. Bears- DT Justin Harrell, Tennessee The Bears could take an o-lineman but Tank Johnson’s legal problems and Dusty Dvoracek’s injury history makes DT a need. They really don’t need a receiver but may be tempted if one slipped.
32. Colts- CB Aaron Ross, TexasThe reigning champs need a cornerback after losing Nick Harper and Jason David.
Wednesday, April 18, 2007
Grading the 02' Draft
1. Houston Texans- QB David Carr
Now: Backup in Carolina
The first pick in Texans’ history, Carr had mixed results in Houston playing behind a historically bad offensive line. He’s gone from Houston now, replaced by Matt Schuab, and he’ll backup Jake Delhomme in Carolina next season.
Grade: C-
2. Carolina Panthers- DE Julius Peppers
Now: Starting with Panthers
People felt about Peppers the same way they feel today about Calvin Johnson: he’s not only the best athlete, he’s the best player. Peppers has not disappointed, fighting off double and triple teams, he notched sacks 13 last season.
Grade: A
3. Detriot Lions- QB Joey Harrington
Now: Backup with Atlanta
To say Harrington’s tenure in Detroit was disappointing would be an understatement. It now appears like he’ll be a career backup, spending last season with Miami, and backing up Michael Vick in Atlanta next season.
Grade: D-
4. Buffalo Bills- OT Mike Williams
Now: Playing with Jaguars
Most people were surprised Williams was drafted before Miami Hurricane standout Bryant McKinnie, but no one expected him to be as bad as he was. A huge bust in Buffalo because he had problems controlling his weight, Williams is now a fringe backup with the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Grade: F
5. San Diego Chargers- CB Quentin Jammer
Now: Starting with Chargers
We had a lot of trouble handing out this grade, so if you’re a Chargers fan, or just smarter than us, give us a helping hand in the comments section. Jammer has not at all lived up to his lofty draft status, but San Diego locked him up with a contract extension last season.
Grade: B-
6. Kansas City Chiefs- DT Ryan Sims
Now: Plays with Chiefs
Sims could have been the Vikings problem had they got their 6th pick in on time. Sims has been a bust in Kansas City, barely getting any playing time the last 3 seasons.
Grade: D-
7. Minnesota Vikings- OT Bryant McKinnie
Now: Starting with Vikings
Mount McKinnie never gave up a sack in college, and has been a standout in the pros. He solidifies the left side of a very good Vikings o-line with guard Steve Hutchinson.
Grade: A-
8. Dallas Cowboys- S Roy Williams
Now: Starting with Cowboys
Williams has been a starter on a very good Cowboys defense since his rookie season, but has still had some problems. He’s a big hitter but struggles in coverage.
Grade: B+
9. Jacksonville Jaguars- DT John Henderson
Now: Starting with Jaguars
The Jags built their interior defensive line around the turn of the millennium with Henderson and Marcus Stroud. While not as dominant as Stroud, Henderson has been one of the better players on the Jags defense the past few seasons.
Grade: B+
10. Cincinatti Bengals- OT Levi Brown
Now: Starting with Bengals
Most famous for getting punched out Joey Porter in a casino earlier this year, Brown has done a nice job in recent years of protecting franchise QB Carson Palmer.
Grade: B
11. Indianapolis Colts- DE Dwight Freeney
Now: Starting with Colts
Freeney might have earned an A after 2005, but his sack numbers dropped a little bit last season. We just can’t give him the same grade as Peppers.
Grade: A-
12. Arizona Cardinals- DT Wendell Bryant
Now: Out of football
B-U-S-T bust, bust, bust. What a horrible pick. Maybe the Cards should never draft a d-lineman in the first round again after Bryant and Andre Wadsworth stunk up the joint. The defensive tackle out of Wisconsin never made an impact in the pros and is now out of football.
Grade: F
13. New Orleans Saints- WR Donte Stallworth
Now: Signed with Patriots
The Saints traded Stallworth last season and it opened up a spot for rookie surprise Marques Colston. Stallworth was solid in Phili and will likely become Tom Brady’s favorite target in New England next season.
Grade: B-
14. NY Giants- TE Jeremy Shockey
Now: Starting for Giants
Greg Olsen will continue the long line of Miami tight ends this season, and often draws comparisons to Shockey. Known just as well for his game as his mouth, Shockey has become one of the better tight ends in the NFL.
Grade: B+
15. Tennessee Titans- DT Albert Haynesworth
Now: Starting with Titans
Drafted out of Tennessee, Haynesworth has been a good pro since being taken by the Titans. While he is best known for stomping on some guy’s face last season, he is still one of the better players on the Titans.
Grade: B+
16. Cleveland Browns- RB William Green
Now: Out of footballIs he better or worse then guys like Tim Couch, Courtney Brown, and Gerard Warren?
Grade: F
17. Oakland Raiders- CB Phillip Buchanan
Now: Out of football
Buchanan looked good to start his career in Oakland, but then his play began to slide. The Raiders made up for absence by drafting a plethora of defensive backs early in drafts in recent years.
Grade: D-
18. Atlanta Falcons- RB TJ Duckett
Now: Plays for Redskins
Duckett was one of the D’s in the Falcons vaunted DVD rushing attack for years until he was shipped to Washington last season. He may be their third best back now, however, behind Portis and LaDell Betts.
Grade: C-
19. Denver Broncos- WR Ashley Lelie
Now: Plays for Falcons
The Falcons acquired the speedy Lelie last season from the Broncos to give Michael Vick another weapon. Lelie struggled in Atlanta doing what every other Falcons wideout did: drop passes.
Grade: C+
20. Green Bay Packers- WR Javon Walker
Now: Starts for Broncos
Walker may be the best receiver in this class, making a pro bowl or two. He has enjoyed a pretty good career with Farve’s Packers and last season after Denver traded for him.
Grade: B+
21. New England Patriots- TE Daniel Graham
Now: Signed with Broncos
Coupled with Ben Watson, the Pats took tight ends in the first round in back to back seasons. Watson worked out- now one of Brady’s favorite targets- while Graham really didn’t. He’ll take his game to Denver next season.
Grade: C-
22. NY Jets- DE Bryan Thomas
Now: Playing for Jets
Note: I’m not sure if he remembers this, but this was my Dad’s guy in this draft! While not as good as the Old Man expected, Thomas had a career season in 2006, notching 8.5 sacks. His previous career high was 3.5 sacks.
Grade: C+
23. Oakland Raiders- OLB Napoleon Harris
Now: Playing with Kansas City
Harris will forever be remembered for being traded for Randy Moss (and the #7 pick in the draft a few years ago, aka Troy Williamson. Yikes), and has now been on three teams during his career. He’s not a standout, but he has become a quality fourth linebacker.
Grade: C-
24. Baltimore Ravens- S Ed Reed
Now: Starting for Ravens
Already named Defensive Player of the Year, Reed may be the NFL’s top safety, and along with Peppers, the best player to come out of this draft.
Grade: A
25. New Orleans Saints- DE Charles Grant
Now: Starts for Saints
The Saints defense surprised people last season and the d-end tandem of Grant and Will Smith was a big reason why. Grant tallied 6 sacks in 2006.
Grade: B
26. Philadephia Eagles- CB Lito Shepard
Now: Starts for Eagles
While he is often overshadowed by his higher profile teammates in Phili, Shepard is a vital cog in the Eagles defense. And he’s a lot better then the guy drafted after him…
Grade: B+
27. San Francisco 49ers- CB Mike Rumph
Now: Playing for Jaguars
The 49ers have a good young team, but Rumph isn’t a part of it anymore. He struggled in coverage in San Fran and now plays safety for the Jaguars.
Grade: D
28. Seattle Seahawks- TE Jerramy Stevens
Now: Started for Seahawks last season
Stevens’ mouth and poor hands drew the ire of Seahawks fans during his time in Seattle. He will most be remembered for dropping multiple passes in Super Bowl 40.
Grade: C
29. Chicago Bears- OT Marc Columbo
Now: Starts with Cowboys
This looked like a safe pick at the time, but a devastating knee injury derailed Columbo’ career in his rookie season. He rebounded nicely last season, however, starting at guard for the Cowboys.
Grade: C-
30. Pittsburgh Steelers- OG Kendall Simmons
Now: Starts with Steelers
A solid starter on a good offensive line in Pittsburgh, Simmons helped the Steelers win the Super Bowl in 2005.
Grade: B
31. St. Louis Rams- MLB Robert Thomas
Now: Playing with Raiders
Thomas’s career never got off the ground in St. Louis and he now plays for Oakland.
Grade: D
32. Washington Redskins- QB Patrick Ramsey
Now: Backup with Jets
Ramsey was never the same after Bears linebacker Lance Briggs atomic clothlined him in the first week of the 2005 season. He will compete with Kellen Clemens to backup Chad Pennington in New York next season.
Grade: C-
Thursday, April 12, 2007
Great Idea: The Bears and Calvin Johnson
Wednesday, April 11, 2007
Bears Schedule Announced
week 2: vs. Kansas City
week 3: vs. Dallas
week 4: @ Detroit
week 5: @ Green Bay
week 6: vs. Minnesota
week 9: Bye
week 10:@ Oakland
week 11: @ Seattle
week 12: vs. Broncos
week 13: vs. Giants
week 14: @ Washington (Thursday Night)
week 15: @ Minnesota (Monday Night)
week 16: vs. Packers
week 17: vs. Saints
Sunday, April 8, 2007
The Whole Enchilada : Mock Draft version 1
Version 1: Updated March 27-April 8
1. Oakland Raiders- WR Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech
Before the college football season even began, Notre Dame’s Brady Quinn was pegged for the top pick in the 2007 Draft. But after an up-and-down season that included back-to-back loses to USC and LSU, Quinn’s stock began to drop. For months, everyone has assumed that Quinn’s counterpart in the Sugar Bowl, LSU’s JaMarcus Russell, would be chosen #1 overall. The Raiders desperately need a quarterback and Russell has the kind of measurable that Raiders’ owner Al Davis covets. While Russell has not done anything to lose his hold on the #1 overall pick, Georgia Tech wideout Calvin Johnson may have done enough to steal it away from him. Bigger then most linebackers in this class, Johnson took a step into the next stratosphere when he ran a 4.35 40 yard dash at the combine, while weighing in at 240 lbs. This pick probably only happens if the Raiders do two things: a) acquire a veteran quarterback like Trent Green or David Carr, and b) trade Randy Moss. If those two things happen, Johnson’s immense talent should be too much for the Raiders to pass up.
2. Detroit Lions- QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame
The Lions said early in the draft process that they were satisfied with quarterback Jon Kitna, a veteran who put up the best Detroit passing numbers of the decade. But Kitna is in his mid 30’s and is nearing the end of his career, and Notre Dame’s Brady Quinn may be too good to pass up. Once rumored to possibly slip out of the top 10, Quinn has impressed enough in his post-season workouts to warrant a pick this high. If the Lions decide that quarterback is not their most pressing need, then the team could go after Wisconsin tackle Joe Thomas, Georgia Tech wide receiver Calvin Johnson, or Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams.
3. Cleveland Browns- QB JaMarcus Russell, LSU
The last time the Browns took a quarterback with their first pick it set their franchise back, oh, about eight years. Tim Couch was a monumental flop after the Cleveland selected him with the #1 overall pick in 1999, and the Browns have struggled to find consistency at quarterback ever since. The moves the Browns have made in the offseason, upgrading the offensive line with Eric Steinbach and their running game with Jamal Lewis, lets them take a chance at one of the top two quarterbacks, if they fall. Russell is a monster for a quarterback at 265 lbs. and has a cannon for a right arm. He could come in and start right away or he could sit for a year while Charlie Frye continues to develop. The problem is everyone expects Russell to go #1, if that’s the case, the Browns could then look at Oklahoma running back Adrian Peterson or Wisconsin offensive tackle Joe Thomas. But all indications are, if either Quinn or Russell drops, the Browns would select them at #3.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- DT Amobi Okoye, Louisville
The last time John Gruden coached at the Senior Bowl, he fell for Auburn running back Cadillac Williams, who the team selected #5 overall in 2004. While most people don’t even have Amobi Okoye as the draft’s top defensive tackle, it would fill a major hole in the once proud Tampa Bay defense. The team would love if Georgia Tech wide receiver Calvin Johnson fell, and it could happen. If Johnson is gone (and don’t be surprised if they try to trade up and get him) and the team decides not to take Okoye, Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams or Wisconsin tackle Joe Thomas might draw consideration.
5. Arizona Cardinals- OT Joe Thomas, Wisconsin
Over the last few years, the Cardinals have really upgraded the overall talent of their roster. Quarterback Matt Leinart, the team’s first round selection last year, showed signs in his rookie season that he can continue the success he had in college. Wide receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are the league’s top young pass catching tandem, and last year’s signing of Edgerin James finally gave the Cardinals a 1,000 yard rusher. James’ first season in Arizona, however, can hardly be considered a success, as he saw his yards per carry drop 4.6 in 2005 to only 3.8 last year. James’ struggles, of course, aren’t his fault entirely. The Cardinals offensive line has been one of the leagues worst units for over a decade. Adding a top-notch left tackle like Joe Thomas would instantly upgrade their line, and could make them a playoff contender under new head coach Ken Wisenhunt. If Thomas is off the board, there are no other offensive linemen that would be worthy of this pick so the team could trade down. Or, they could try to improve their defense with a lineman like Gaines Adams, Alan Branch, or Jamaal Anderson.
6. Washington Redskins- DE Gaines Adams, Clemson
The Redskins are quickly turning into the NFL’s version of the New York Knicks. The past few offseasons have been filled with big name free agent signings who have failed to help the team produce wins. This offseason has been no different, as Washington shelled out big money contracts to London Fletcher-Baker, Jason Fabini, and Fred Smoot. Their defense, which was one of the league’s premier units in 2005, struggled in 2006 in large part because they couldn’t put pressure on the quarterback. Enter Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams with the sixth overall pick. A natural pass rusher with good size at 6’5, 260 lbs., Adams would start right away and immediately improve the Redskins pass rush. Of course, this pick has been rumored to go to the Chicago Bears in exchange for Lance Briggs. The pick would put the Bears in strange position because they have very few holes. If the Bears do acquire this pick, they could reach for Penn State offensive tackle Levi Brown, or cut ties with defensive tackle Tank Johnson and take Amobi Okoye or Alan Branch. The most likely scenario for the Bears, however, would be to trade down to a team looking for Adrian Peterson or LaRon Landry, and stockpile picks.
7. Minnesota Vikings- DE Jamaal Anderson, Arkansas
After a promising start to the 2006 season, the Vikings slipped back into mediocrity. Head Coach Brad Childress spent his first season building the teams offensive line and running game, and now he must turn his attention to the defense. Two players, Arkansas defensive end Jamaal Anderson and LSU safety LaRon Landry, should still be on the board here, and both would immediately bolster a Vikings defense that struggled throughout last year. The Vikings have spent first round picks in recent years on defensive ends Kenechi Uduze and Erasamus James, but both have failed to live up to expectations. Anderson would give them a premier edge rusher who is drawing comparisons to the game’s top defensive players. If one of the quarterbacks slip, Minnesota might be tempted to pull the trigger. The team also has a big need at wide receiver after Troy Williamson, the #7 pick in the 2004 draft, seemed to drop more balls than he caught.
8. Atlanta Falcons- RB Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma
It would be very hard to see Adrian Peterson slipping this far, I have him as the second best prospect overall, and if he gets past Cleveland there may be teams looking to trade up to get him. If not for durability concerns, Peterson could be considered one of the most complete running prospects in a long time. When healthy, he carried the Sooners offense on his back and made them one of the elite teams in the country almost single-handedly. Atlanta has a good running back in Warrick Dunn, but a prospect like Peterson would be too good to pass up with the #8 pick.
9. Miami Dolphins- DT Alan Branch, Michigan
A mountain of a man at 6’6 and 330 lbs., Alan Branch has the ability to dominate an offensive line. While his production in college was a bit underwhelming, Branch has everything you look for in a dominant run stopper in the middle of the line. The Dolphins defense struggled last year, while their offense failed to find consistency. Daunte Culpepper cannot be counted on as a franchise quarterback any longer, so if either Russell or Quinn slips, the Dolphins would have to take a good look at them.
10. Houston Texans- S LaRon Landry, LSU
Nobody drew more criticism on draft day last year then the Texans. By passing up Reggie Bush and Vince Young for Mario Williams, the Texans made a clear statement saying they were building their team around defense. Williams struggled in his first year, finishing with only 4.5 sacks, but he and fellow rookie DeMeco Ryans prove the Texans defense has a bright future. Dunta Robinson is a very good cornerback, but the team could still use a playmaker in the secondary like LaRon Landry. Already drawing comparison’s to Ed Reed, Landry is a true impact player that could take the Houston defense to the next level. If Landry is gone, the team could look to help out new quarterback Matt Schaub by taking either Ohio State wide receiver Teddy Ginn Jr., or Penn State left tackle Levi Brown.
11. San Francisco 49ers- MLB Patrick Willis, Ole Miss
The 49ers were one of the NFL’s most surprising teams last year. Their young offense grew up fast with Alex Smith rebounding from a disappointing rookie year, and Frank Gore becoming one of the league’s top running backs, rushing for over 1,600 yards. San Francisco now has to focus on building their defense, already signing cornerback Nate Clements to an 8 year, $80 million contract. Patrick Willis was one of college football’s top inside linebackers last year and is quickly moving up draft charts. After running a 4.38 at his pro day, the Ole Miss product is now considered a legit top 15 selection. The 49ers could decide to add a defensive lineman like Amobi Okoye or Alan Branch, if they’re available, or they could go with a wide receiver like Ted Ginn Jr., or USC’s Dwayne Jarrett.
12. Buffalo Bills- CB Leon Hall, Michigan
The Bills better make this pick count because they’ve already had one of the roughest offseasons in the league. They traded running back Willis McGahee to the Ravens for only a couple of third round picks, and cornerback Nate Clements left for San Francisco. The Bills could look to fill one of those two holes with this pick, taking a running back like Marshawn Lynch or a cornerback for Michigan’s Leon Hall. Hall is considered the top corner in this draft and would immediately help ease the loss of Clements.
13. St. Louis Rams- DE Adam Carriker, Nebraska
The moves the Rams made to improve their defense last year didn’t work out, so St. Louis will reload on that side of the ball in this draft. A linebacker like Patrick Willis or Paul Posluszny could be the pick, but a talent like Carriker would immediately bolster there defensive line. At 6’6, 300 lbs., Carriker is athletic enough to defensive end and strong to play defensive tackle. That versatility should only help his stock come draft day.
14. Carolina Panthers- TE Greg Olsen, Miami
The Panthers had high hopes for their 2006 season, picked by many to win the NFC. But injuries and inconsistent quarterback play doomed Carolina, as they finished a disappointing 8-8. Since there won’t be a quarterback available that would warrant this pick, the Panthers could decide to give Jake Delhomme more weapons. A wide receiver like Ted Ginn or Dwayne Jarrett could help out, but Miami’s Greg Olsen would add a dimension the Carolina offense has lacked since Wesley Walls retired. Kyle Wright and the Miami offense struggled passing the ball last season, but Olsen’s postseason workouts overshadow any concern of a disappointing junior season.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers- OT Levi Brown, Penn State
You could make a case for a linebacker with this pick, after the Steelers lost Joey Porter in free agency to the Miami Dolphins. But the team’s top concern should be protecting Ben Roethlisberger, who an extremely disappointing 2006. Penn State’s Levi Brown is unanimously considered the class’ second best tackle and could go in the top 10. If Brown in gone, the Steelers could consider Florida State linebacker Lawrence Timmons or Penn State’s Paul Posluszny.
16. Green Bay Packers- RB Marshawn Lynch, California
Considering the overall talent level of its roster, the Packers overachieved last year. Not being eliminated from playoff contention until after the final week of the season, the Packers young defense showed signs that it could evolve into one of the league’s best. The offseason, however, has not been so kind to their offense. Losing running back Ahmad Green in free agency to the Texans, the Packers will try to add playmakers and team speed on offense in the draft. A wide receiver, like Dwayne Jarrett or Ohio State’s Ted Ginn is an option, but Cal’s Marshawn Lynch would be an ideal fit. Lynch could go as high as 12 to the Bills, who lost Willis McGahee to the Ravens, but he would likely be the pick here if available.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars- LB Paul Posluszny, Penn State
The Jaguars offense struggled to find consistency in 2006, partly because they lacked stability at quarterback. Byron Leftwich and David Garrard took turns running the offense, and both led them to mediocre results. One positive of the Jags was the emergence of second round pick Maurice Jones-Drew. Veteran running back Fred Taylor seemed to take Drew under his wing, as the rookie rushed for 13 touchdowns. Jacksonville could look to upgrade its defense with its first pick, and Paul Posluszny would be great choice. Following in the tradition of great Penn State linebackers like Jack Ham and Lavar Arrington, Puz won the Butkus award as a junior and led the Nitney Lions defense in tackles as a senior. If they opt to address their secondary, a safety like Reggie Nelson would make be an immediate upgrade.
18. Cincinnati Bengals- LB Jon Beason, Miami
The Bengals on-field performance was overshadowed horrendous off-field behavior in 2006. Carson Palmer’s return from knee surgery was about the only good story for a Bengals team that saw nine players get arrested. So what do the do with their first round pick in this draft? They select a linebacker from the morally sound football program in Coral Gables! Although many felt he was better served to stay another year in school, Miami’s Jon “Big Beast” Beason was one of the few consistent parts in a Miami team that underachieved in 2006. Cornerback is another concern for the Bengals who could also target someone like Pitt’s Darrelle Revis. No word yet on how Beason’s commitment to the Seventh Floor Crew will affect his draft status.
19. Tennessee Titans- WR Dwayne Jarrett, USC
The Titans were among the most pleasant of surprises in the 2006 NFL season. Vince Young proved all his draft day detractors wrong (nice call Merrill Hodge) by leading Tennessee to an 8-8 record with a team that had limited offensive weapons. Though it was further along then most expected, Young still has a little work to do on his passing game, so adding a wide receiver makes sense with this pick. After losing top wideout Drew Bennett, a receiver seems like their top priority, and there should be a lot of good ones available. LSU’s Dwayne Bowe, USC’s Dwayne Jarrett, and Ohio State’s Ted Ginn all excel in different aspects, but Jarrett is the most complete of all of them. Breaking the Pac 10 record for touchdown receptions in only 3 seasons at USC, Jarrett would be able to reunite with old Trojan offensive coordinator Norm Chow in Tennessee.
20. New York Giants- CB Darrell Revis, LSU
An award for the NFL’s most maligned player in 2006 would have to include Eli Manning in its nominees. You would probably have to look to Chicago to find a quarterback that experienced as many ups and downs and Manning, as his Giants fought their way into the playoffs only to lose in the first round. The Giants offense could probably use a young playmaking wide receiver but their defense should be New York’s chief concern. While a linebacker like Puz or Big Beast could be the pick, depth at cornerback is essential for the Giants. Darrell Revis posted a strong junior season and has now asserted himself as the class’s second best corner.
21. Broncos- DE Jarvis Moss, Florida
The Broncos have been up and down on draft day the past few seasons. Last year they struck gold with quarterback Jay Cutler and defensive end Elvis Dumervil, but picks like Maurice Clarett and Willie Middlebrooks didn’t work out in previous seasons. Denver will probably look to use its first pick on defense, either an inside linebacker, defensive end, or safety. Jarvis Moss would be a good fit here and could team up with Dumervil as one of the league’s premier set of young, edge rushing defensive ends. Moss’ dominance in the national championship means he could be gone by the time this pick comes around, so fellow Gator Reggie Nelson is also an option.
22. Cowboys- G Justin Blaylock, Texas
A botched field goal attempt in the playoffs overshadowed a pretty good season by the Cowboys. Tony Romo emerged as legit quarterback and Demarcus Ware established himself as one of the league’s top pass rushing linebackers. The Cowboys were notorious for drafting defensive players in the first round under Bill Parcells and could continue to go that route under Wade Phillips. But their offensive line needs upgrading and Justin Blaylock is one of the top linemen in the class. Versatile enough to play guard or tackle, Blaylock was a key component to the 2006 Longhorns national championship team. Florida’s Reggie Nelson would immediately upgrade the secondary and could also be the pick.
23. Chiefs- CB Chris Houston, Arkansas
The Chiefs have had the same two weaknesses since Priest Holmes was running around Arrowhead Stadium: wide receiver and defense. They have focused on improving that defense during the draft, and it has provided them with some good young players. Derrick Johnson and Tamba Hali have made impacts in the front seven, so the Chiefs can now turn their attention to the secondary. Arkansas’ Chris Houston had a monster junior season and could play immediately in the Chiefs cover 2. Wideout could be the other choice with tons of options like Ted Ginn, Dwayne Jarrett, and Dwayne Bowe.
24. Patriots- S Reggie Nelson, Florida
After blowing a multiple touchdown lead in the AFC Championship, the Pats decided to go hog wild in free agency. AdaliusThomas, one of the most versatile players in football, was brought in to help the defense and Wes Welker and Donte Stallworth were added to a receiving corps that struggled to gain a repore last season with Tom Brady. One area that has been a problem the last two seasons has been the secondary. Reggie Nelson, a dude I’m really high on and think should go much earlier than this, would immediately upgrade the safety position and is the type of ballhawker New England seems to covet.
25. Jets- CB Marcus McCauley, Fresno State
There was a lot for Jets fans to be happy about in 2006. Head Coach Eric Mangini led his troops to a 10-6 record and a playoff appearance in his first season on the job. Their two first round draft picks, D’Brickshaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold, steadily improved through the year and were able to keep Chad Pennington up right for the majority of the season. Already this offseason the Jets got my guy Thomas Jones for only an exchange of second round picks with the Bears, and now should look to focus on their defense. Because they run a 3-4, linebackers will always be an option but New York could also look to improve its secondary. Had he come out after his junior year, Marcus McCauley could have been a top 10 selection (in maybe the best draft of the last 20 years). But McCauley stayed in school and saw his stock drop a little. Maybe considered a boom or bust defensive back, McCauley has the playmaking ability the Jets defense desperately need.
26. Eagles- WR Ted Ginn Jr., Ohio State
The story of the Eagles 2006 season is one of two halves: the first half with Donavan McNabb and the second half with Jeff Garcia. Garcia rallied the Eagles to a playoff birth after McNabb went down, in large part because of the coaching staff’s decision to run the ball more with Brian Westbrook. With Garcia moving on to Tampa Bay this season, Philadephia might look to supply McNabb with some more offensive weapons, and Ted Ginn Jr. would be a great addition if he were somehow still around with the 26 pick in the first round. Ginn is the fastest of stellar wide receiver class, as he was Troy Smith’s favorite target the past two seasons. If Ginn is gone, the Eagles could add another wideout or look for help at safety or linebacker.
27. Saints- WR Dwayne Bowe, LSU
The Dallas Cowboys loaned the Saints their nickname last season, as New Orleans became America’s team. The offense showed immense improvement in the first year of the Sean Payton/Drew Brees Era, and rookies like Marques Colston and Reggie Bush made immediate impacts. The Saints defense was considered a weakness going into the season, but their defensive line and linebackers overachieved, getting the team to the NFC Championship game. Still for a team that won 12 games, the Saints have plenty of weaknesses. They could use a cornerback or linebacker, and now may need a wide receiver after losing Joe Horn. Dwayne Bowe is one of the best wideouts in a very good class of receivers, and would team up with Colston and Devery Henderson to make the Saints offensive attack even more potent.
28. Patriots- LB Lawrence Timmons, Florida State
With their second of two first round picks, the Patriots could look up upgrade in a number of different areas. If a wide receiver like Jarrett, Meachem, or Bowe was available, their talent and value might be too good to pass up, even after the team added Daunte Stallworth and Wes Welker in free agency. But teams that run the 3-4 always need linebackers, and Florida State’s Lawrence Timmons would be an ideal fit as a rush linebacker. Timmons could have gone much earlier than this, and still might, but his post-season workouts have been underwhelming so far.
29. Ravens- WR Robert Meachem, Tennessee
The Ravens finally found stability at quarterback last season as veteran Steve McNair played in all 16 games. They added Willis McGahee in the offseason to refresh the running game, and now may look to give McNair more targets. Robert Meachem is quickly rising up draft boards and could be the second receiver selected. He has good speed and was productive during his three seasons at Tennessee. Another option could be an offensive lineman like Central Michigan tackle Joe Staley or USC center Ryan Kahil.
30. Chargers- S Michael Griffin, Texas
Led by a historically great season from LaDanian Tomlinson, the Chargers dominated the regular season finishing with the NFL’s best record, 14-2. It didn’t help them in the playoffs, however, as they fell to a veteran New England Patriots team in the conference semi finals. They could use a receiver but may use their first pick to fill needs in the secondary. Michael Griffin in a terrific football player from a program that has a history of producing solid defensive backs. While not the prospect his former teammate Michael Huff was, Griffin should make an immediate impact on whatever team he goes to.
31. Bears- G Aaron Sears, Tennessee
It’s a been a rough offseason for the Bears, as they lost their starting running back and now may lose two time Pro Bowl linebacker Lance Briggs. If Briggs departs, the Bears may use this pick on a linebacker if someone like Paul Posluszny is available. If not, they should look to bring youth to their offense line, where Ruben Brown and Fred Miller are both coming near the end of their careers. Tennessee’s Aaron Sears would be an ideal fit because he can play both tackle and guard, and would provide the Bears offensive line with some much needed depth. (Much more on this pick in the future.)
32. Colts- LB Rufus Alexander, Oklahoma
The Colts defense may have stepped up in the playoffs, but their regular season rankings were amongst the worst in the NFL. Having trouble stopping the run the entire season, the Colts should use most of their draft picks to focus on their front seven. Oklahoma’s Rufus Alexander would be an ideal fit in Indianapolis’ cover 2, and could contribute right away. Reminding many of Ernie Sims, Alexander plays bigger than his small frame.
Mock Draft: Picks 26-32
The story of the Eagles 2006 season is one of two halves: the first half with Donavan McNabb and the second half with Jeff Garcia. Garcia rallied the Eagles to a playoff birth after McNabb went down, in large part because of the coaching staff’s decision to run the ball more with Brian Westbrook. With Garcia moving on to Tampa Bay this season, Philadephia might look to supply McNabb with some more offensive weapons, and Ted Ginn Jr. would be a great addition if he were somehow still around with the 26 pick in the first round. Ginn is the fastest of stellar wide receiver class, as he was Troy Smith’s favorite target the past two seasons. If Ginn is gone, the Eagles could add another wideout or look for help at safety or linebacker.
27. Saints- WR Dwayne Bowe, LSU
The Dallas Cowboys loaned the Saints their nickname last season, as New Orleans became America’s team. The offense showed immense improvement in the first year of the Sean Payton/Drew Brees Era, and rookies like Marques Colston and Reggie Bush made immediate impacts. The Saints defense was considered a weakness going into the season, but their defensive line and linebackers overachieved, getting the team to the NFC Championship game. Still for a team that won 12 games, the Saints have plenty of weaknesses. They could use a cornerback or linebacker, and now may need a wide receiver after losing Joe Horn. Dwayne Bowe is one of the best wideouts in a very good class of receivers, and would team up with Colston and Devery Henderson to make the Saints offensive attack even more potent.
28. Patriots- LB Lawrence Timmons, Florida State
With their second of two first round picks, the Patriots could look up upgrade in a number of different areas. If a wide receiver like Jarrett, Meachem, or Bowe was available, their talent and value might be too good to pass up, even after the team added Daunte Stallworth and Wes Welker in free agency. But teams that run the 3-4 always need linebackers, and Florida State’s Lawrence Timmons would be an ideal fit as a rush linebacker. Timmons could have gone much earlier than this, and still might, but his post-season workouts have been underwhelming so far.
29. Ravens- WR Robert Meachem, Tennessee
The Ravens finally found stability at quarterback last season as veteran Steve McNair played in all 16 games. They added Willis McGahee in the offseason to refresh the running game, and now may look to give McNair more targets. Robert Meachem is quickly rising up draft boards and could be the second receiver selected. He has good speed and was productive during his three seasons at Tennessee. Another option could be an offensive lineman like Central Michigan tackle Joe Staley or USC center Ryan Kahil.
30. Chargers- S Michael Griffin, Texas
Led by a historically great season from LaDanian Tomlinson, the Chargers dominated the regular season finishing with the NFL’s best record, 14-2. It didn’t help them in the playoffs, however, as they fell to a veteran New England Patriots team in the conference semi finals. They could use a receiver but may use their first pick to fill needs in the secondary. Michael Griffin in a terrific football player from a program that has a history of producing solid defensive backs. While not the prospect his former teammate Michael Huff was, Griffin should make an immediate impact on whatever team he goes to.
31. Bears- G Aaron Sears, Tennessee
It’s a been a rough offseason for the Bears, as they lost their starting running back and now may lose two time Pro Bowl linebacker Lance Briggs. If Briggs departs, the Bears may use this pick on a linebacker if someone like Paul Posluszny is available. If not, they should look to bring youth to their offense line, where Ruben Brown and Fred Miller are both coming near the end of their careers. Tennessee’s Aaron Sears would be an ideal fit because he can play both tackle and guard, and would provide the Bears offensive line with some much needed depth. (Much more on this pick in the future.)
32. Colts- LB Rufus Alexander, Oklahoma
The Colts defense may have stepped up in the playoffs, but their regular season rankings were amongst the worst in the NFL. Having trouble stopping the run the entire season, the Colts should use most of their draft picks to focus on their front seven. Oklahoma’s Rufus Alexander would be an ideal fit in Indianapolis’ cover 2, and could contribute right away. Reminding many of Ernie Sims, Alexander plays bigger than his small frame.
Wednesday, April 4, 2007
Mock Draft: Picks 21-25
The Broncos have been up and down on draft day the past few seasons. Last year they struck gold with quarterback Jay Cutler and defensive end Elvis Dumervil, but picks like Maurice Clarett and Willie Middlebrooks didn’t work out in previous seasons. Denver will probably look to use its first pick on defense, either an inside linebacker, defensive end, or safety. Jarvis Moss would be a good fit here and could team up with Dumervil as one of the league’s premier set of young, edge rushing defensive ends. Moss’ dominance in the national championship means he could be gone by the time this pick comes around, so fellow Gator Reggie Nelson is also an option.
22. Cowboys- G Justin Blaylock, Texas
A botched field goal attempt in the playoffs overshadowed a pretty good season by the Cowboys. Tony Romo emerged as legit quarterback and Demarcus Ware established himself as one of the league’s top pass rushing linebackers. The Cowboys were notorious for drafting defensive players in the first round under Bill Parcells and could continue to go that route under Wade Phillips. But their offensive line needs upgrading and Justin Blaylock is one of the top linemen in the class. Versatile enough to play guard or tackle, Blaylock was a key component to the 2006 Longhorns national championship team. Florida’s Reggie Nelson would immediately upgrade the secondary and could also be the pick.
23. Chiefs- CB Chris Houston, Arkansas
The Chiefs have had the same two weaknesses since Priest Holmes was running around Arrowhead Stadium: wide receiver and defense. They have focused on improving that defense during the draft, and it has provided them with some good young players. Derrick Johnson and Tamba Hali have made impacts in the front seven, so the Chiefs can now turn their attention to the secondary. Arkansas’ Chris Houston had a monster junior season and could play immediately in the Chiefs cover 2. Wideout could be the other choice with tons of options like Ted Ginn, Dwayne Jarrett, and Dwayne Bowe.
24. Patriots- S Reggie Nelson, Florida
After blowing a multiple touchdown lead in the AFC Championship, the Pats decided to go hog wild in free agency. AdaliusThomas, one of the most versatile players in football, was brought in to help the defense and Wes Welker and Donte Stallworth were added to a receiving corps that struggled to gain a repore last season with Tom Brady. One area that has been a problem the last two seasons has been the secondary. Reggie Nelson, a dude I’m really high on and think should go much earlier than this, would immediately upgrade the safety position and is the type of ballhawker New England seems to covet.
25. Jets- CB Marcus McCauley, Fresno State
There was a lot for Jets fans to be happy about in 2006. Head Coach Eric Mangini led his troops to a 10-6 record and a playoff appearance in his first season on the job. Their two first round draft picks, D’Brickshaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold, steadily improved through the year and were able to keep Chad Pennington up right for the majority of the season. Already this offseason the Jets got my guy Thomas Jones for only an exchange of second round picks with the Bears, and now should look to focus on their defense. Because they run a 3-4, linebackers will always be an option but New York could also look to improve its secondary. Had he come out after his junior year, Marcus McCauley could have been a top 10 selection (in maybe the best draft of the last 20 years). But McCauley stayed in school and saw his stock drop a little. Maybe considered a boom or bust defensive back, McCauley has the playmaking ability the Jets defense desperately need.
Tuesday, April 3, 2007
Mock Draft: Picks 16-20
Considering the overall talent level of its roster, the Packers overachieved last year. Not being eliminated from playoff contention until after the final week of the season, the Packers young defense showed signs that it could evolve into one of the league’s best. The offseason, however, has not been so kind to their offense. Losing running back Ahmad Green in free agency to the Texans, the Packers will try to add playmakers and team speed on offense in the draft. A wide receiver, like Dwayne Jarrett or Ohio State’s Ted Ginn is an option, but Cal’s Marshawn Lynch would be an ideal fit. Lynch could go as high as 12 to the Bills, who lost Willis McGahee to the Ravens, but he would likely be the pick here if available.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars- LB Paul Posluszny, Penn State
The Jaguars offense struggled to find consistency in 2006, partly because they lacked stability at quarterback. Byron Leftwich and David Garrard took turns running the offense, and both led them to mediocre results. One positive of the Jags was the emergence of second round pick Maurice Jones-Drew. Veteran running back Fred Taylor seemed to take Drew under his wing, as the rookie rushed for 13 touchdowns. Jacksonville could look to upgrade its defense with its first pick, and Paul Posluszny would be great choice. Following in the tradition of great Penn State linebackers like Jack Ham and Lavar Arrington, Puz won the Butkus award as a junior and led the Nitney Lions defense in tackles as a senior. If they opt to address their secondary, a safety like Reggie Nelson would make be an immediate upgrade.
18. Cincinnati Bengals- LB Jon Beason, Miami
The Bengals on-field performance was overshadowed horrendous off-field behavior in 2006. Carson Palmer’s return from knee surgery was about the only good story for a Bengals team that saw nine players get arrested. So what do the do with their first round pick in this draft? They select a linebacker from the morally sound football program in Coral Gables! Although many felt he was better served to stay another year in school, Miami’s Jon “Big Beast” Beason was one of the few consistent parts in a Miami team that underachieved in 2006. Cornerback is another concern for the Bengals who could also target someone like Pitt’s Darrelle Revis. No word yet on how Beason’s commitment to the Seventh Floor Crew will affect his draft status.
19. Tennessee Titans- WR Dwayne Jarrett, USC
The Titans were among the most pleasant of surprises in the 2006 NFL season. Vince Young proved all his draft day detractors wrong (nice call Merrill Hodge) by leading Tennessee to an 8-8 record with a team that had limited offensive weapons. Though it was further along then most expected, Young still has a little work to do on his passing game, so adding a wide receiver makes sense with this pick. After losing top wideout Drew Bennett, a receiver seems like their top priority, and there should be a lot of good ones available. LSU’s Dwayne Bowe, USC’s Dwayne Jarrett, and Ohio State’s Ted Ginn all excel in different aspects, but Jarrett is the most complete of all of them. Breaking the Pac 10 record for touchdown receptions in only 3 seasons at USC, Jarrett would be able to reunite with old Trojan offensive coordinator Norm Chow in Tennessee.
20. New York Giants- CB Darrell Revis, LSU
An award for the NFL’s most maligned player in 2006 would have to include Eli Manning in its nominees. You would probably have to look to Chicago to find a quarterback that experienced as many ups and downs and Manning, as his Giants fought their way into the playoffs only to lose in the first round. The Giants offense could probably use a young playmaking wide receiver but their defense should be New York’s chief concern. While a linebacker like Puz or Big Beast could be the pick, depth at cornerback is essential for the Giants. Darrell Revis posted a strong junior season and has now asserted himself as the class’s second best corner.
Friday, March 30, 2007
Great Idea: The Bears and Lance Briggs
One of the reasons the Bears are hesitant to move Lance Briggs is because they don't know what they would do with the Redskins draft pick, #6 overall. There will be some great players available at a lot of different positions, but the Bears already have very few holes as it is.
Why would the Bears take Gaines Adams when they already have Ogunleye, Brown, and Anderson? Why would they take a defensive tackle like Amobi Okoye or Alan Branch (who wouldn't fit into their system anyway) when they just signed Anthony Adams to a four year contract, are getting back a totally healthy Tommie Harris (who'll be in for a big pay day soon), still have Tank Johnson, and get last year's third round pick, Dusty Dvoracek, back from injury? The Bears are one of the few NFL teams that don't need a cornerback (Vasher, Tillman, and Manning Jr. are all good), and they addressed their safety issues by acquiring Adam Archuleta. Also, none of the linebackers in this year's class are good enough to warrant the sixth pick.
Basically the Bears would be creating a hole and filling it with depth at other positions. That doesn't make any sense. With the amount of money you have to pay the sixth overall pick, is the trade really worth it?
Well Jerry Angelo, here's what you should do, bro. First off, offer Briggs one last long term contract. We know you don't want to tie up so salary cap space in linebackers, but Briggs is worth it. He's either your second or third best player, and his weakside linebacker position is so vital to the cover 2. If he turns it down give him the middle finger and trade him to the Skins' for the pick.
With that pick, #6 overall, take LaRon Landry, a guy who is one of the safest prospects in the draft. He'd start right away and he'll be one of the leagues top safeties in about a year. He's that good.
But then who'll fill Briggs' outside linebacker position, you ask? Adam Archuleta. Before you call this crazy, think about what Archuleta has done his entire career and why he struggled in Washington. He played linebacker in college, so you know he has some instincts already, and he has always been a guy who has excelled playing in the box (just look at his girlfriend). In the cover 2, linebackers play in deep zones anyway, so his experience at safety will only help. He got benched in Washington last year because they tried to make him into a cover oriented safety, which he couldn't handle. He'd be a perfect linebacker in the cover 2 and he's big enough (6'0, 223) where you would only have to bulk him up about 10 pounds.
No one wants to lose Briggs but the way he's acting and with the agent he has, you might have to. If you're going to trade him, the sixth pick is pretty good compensation for a guy that bitched his way out town. Landry is stud and will be better then Chris Harris and Daniel Manning combined from day one, and Arch gets to restart his career with a new team and new position. God, I'm a genius.
Mock Draft: Picks 11-15
The 49ers were one of the NFL’s most surprising teams last year. Their young offense grew up fast with Alex Smith rebounding from a disappointing rookie year, and Frank Gore becoming one of the league’s top running backs, rushing for over 1,600 yards. San Francisco now has to focus on building their defense, already signing cornerback Nate Clements to an 8 year, $80 million contract. Patrick Willis was one of college football’s top inside linebackers last year and is quickly moving up draft charts. After running a 4.38 at his pro day, the Ole Miss product is now considered a legit top 15 selection. The 49ers could decide to add a defensive lineman like Amobi Okoye or Alan Branch, if they’re available, or they could go with a wide receiver like Ted Ginn Jr. or USC’s Dwayne Jarrett.
12. Buffalo Bills- CB Leon Hall, Michigan
The Bills better make this pick count because they’ve already had one of the roughest offseasons in the league. They traded running back Willis McGahee to the Ravens for only a couple of third round picks and cornerback Nate Clements left for San Francisco. The Bills could look to fill one of those two holes with this pick, taking a running back like Marshawn Lynch or a cornerback for Michigan’s Leon Hall. Hall is considered the top corner in this draft and would immediately help ease the loss of Clements.
13. St. Louis Rams- DE Adam Carriker, Nebraska
The moves the Rams made to improve their defense last year didn’t work out, so St. Louis will reload on that side of the ball in this draft. A linebacker like Patrick Willis or Paul Posluszny could be the pick, but a talent like Carriker would immediately bolster there defensive line. At 6’6, 300 lbs., Carriker is athletic enough to defensive end and strong to play defensive tackle. That versatility should only help his stock come draft day.
14. Carolina Panthers- TE Greg Olsen, Miami
The Panthers had high hopes for their 2006 season, picked by many to win the NFC. But injuries and inconsistent quarterback play doomed Carolina, as they finished a disappointing 8-8. Since there won’t be a quarterback available that would warrant this pick, the Panthers could decide to give Jake Delhomme more weapons. A wide receiver like Ted Ginn or Dwayne Jarrett could help out, but Miami’s Greg Olsen would add a dimension the Carolina offense has lacked since Wesley Walls retired. Kyle Wright and the Miami offense struggled passing the ball last season, but Olsen’s postseason workouts overshadow any concern of a disappointing junior season.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers- OT Levi Brown, Penn State
You could make a case for a linebacker with this pick, after the Steelers lost Joey Porter in free agency to the Miami Dolphins. But the team’s top concern should be protecting Ben Roethlisberger, who is coming off an extremely disappointing 2006. Penn State’s Levi Brown is unanimously considered the class’ second best tackle and could go in the top 10. If Brown in gone, the Steelers could consider Florida State linebacker Lawrence Timmons or Penn State’s Paul Posluszny.
Wednesday, March 28, 2007
Mock Draft: Picks 6-10
6. Washington Redskins- DE Gaines Adams, Clemson
The Redskins are quickly turning into the NFL’s version of the New York Knicks. The past few offseasons have been filled with big name free agent signings who have failed to help the team produce wins. This offseason has been no different, as Washington shelled out big money contracts to London Fletcher-Baker, Jason Fabini, and Fred Smoot. Their defense, which was one of the league’s premier units in 2005, struggled in 2006 in large part because they couldn’t put pressure on the quarterback. Enter Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams with the sixth overall pick. A natural pass rusher with good size at 6’5, 260 lbs., Adams would start right away and immediately improve the Redskins pass rush. Of course, this pick has been rumored to go to the Chicago Bears in exchange for Lance Briggs. The pick would put the Bears in strange position because they have very few holes. If the Bears do acquire this pick, they could reach for Penn State offensive tackle Levi Brown, or cut ties with defensive tackle Tank Johnson and take Amobi Okoye or Alan Branch. The most likely scenario for the Bears, however, would be to trade down to a team looking for Adrian Peterson or LaRon Landry, and stockpile picks.
7. Minnesota Vikings- DE Jamaal Anderson, Arkansas
After a promising start to the 2006 season, the Vikings slipped back into mediocrity. Head Coach Brad Childress spent his first season building the teams offensive line and running game, and now he must turn his attention to the defense. Two players, Arkansas defensive end Jamaal Anderson and LSU safety LaRon Landry, should still be on the board here, and both would immediately bolster a Vikings defense that struggled throughout last year. The Vikings have spent first round picks in recent years on defensive ends Kenechi Uduze and Erasamus James, but both have failed to live up to expectations. Anderson would give them a premier edge rusher who is drawing comparisons to the game’s top defensive players. If one of the quarterbacks slip, Minnesota might be tempted to pull the trigger. The team also has a big need at wide receiver after Troy Williamson, the #7 pick in the 2004 draft, seemed to drop more balls than he caught.
8. Atlanta Falcons- RB Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma
It would be very hard to see Adrian Peterson slipping this far, I have him as the second best prospect overall, and if he gets past Cleveland there may be teams looking to trade up to get him. If not for durability concerns, Peterson could be considered one of the most complete running prospects in a long time. When healthy, he carried the Sooners offense on his back and made them one of the elite teams in the country almost single-handedly. Atlanta has a good running back in Warrick Dunn, but a prospect like Peterson would be too good to pass up with the #8 pick.
9. Miami Dolphins- DT Alan Branch, Michigan
A mountain of a man at 6’6 and 330 lbs., Alan Branch has the ability to dominate an offensive line. While his production in college was a bit underwhelming, Branch has everything you look for in a dominant run stopper in the middle of the line. The Dolphins defense struggled last year, while their offense failed to find consistency. Daunte Culpepper cannot be counted on as a franchise quarterback any longer, so if either Russell or Quinn slips, the Dolphins would have to take a good look at them.
10. Houston Texans- S LaRon Landry, LSU
Nobody drew more criticism on draft day last year then the Texans. By passing up Reggie Bush and Vince Young for Mario Williams, the Texans made a clear statement saying they were building their team around defense. Williams struggled in his first year, finishing with only 4.5 sacks, but he and fellow rookie DeMeco Ryans prove the Texans defense has a bright future. Dunta Robinson is a very good cornerback, but the team could still use a playmaker in the secondary like LaRon Landry. Already drawing comparison’s to Ed Reed, Landry is a true impact player that could take the Houston defense to the next level. If Landry is gone, the team could look to help out new quarterback Matt Schaub by taking either Ohio State wide receiver Teddy Ginn Jr., or Penn State left tackle Levi Brown.
Tuesday, March 27, 2007
Mock Draft; picks 1-5
Version 1: Updated March 27
1. Oakland Raiders- WR Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech
Before the college football season even began, Notre Dame’s Brady Quinn was pegged for the top pick in the 2007 Draft. But after an up-and-down season that included back-to-back loses to USC and LSU, Quinn’s stock began to drop. For months, everyone has assumed that Quinn’s counterpart in the Sugar Bowl, LSU’s JaMarcus Russell, would be chosen #1 overall. The Raiders desperately need a quarterback and Russell has the kind of measurable that Raiders’ owner Al Davis covets. While Russell has not done anything to lose his hold on the #1 overall pick, Georgia Tech wideout Calvin Johnson may have done enough to steal it away from him. Bigger then most linebackers in this class, Johnson took a step into the next stratosphere when he ran a 4.35 40 yard dash at the combine, while weighing in at 240 lbs. This pick probably only happens if the Raiders do two things: a) acquire a veteran quarterback like Trent Green or David Carr, and b) trade Randy Moss. If those two things happen, Johnson’s immense talent should be too much for the Raiders to pass up.
2. Detroit Lions- QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame
The Lions said early in the draft process that they were satisfied with quarterback Jon Kitna, a veteran who put up the best Detroit passing numbers of the decade. But Kitna is in his mid 30’s and is nearing the end of his career, and Notre Dame’s Brady Quinn may be too good to pass up. Once rumored to possibly slip out of the top 10, Quinn has impressed enough in his post-season workouts to warrant a pick this high. If the Lions decide that quarterback is not their most pressing need, then the team could go after Wisconsin tackle Joe Thomas, Georgia Tech wide receiver Calvin Johnson, or Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams.
3. Cleveland Browns- QB JaMarcus Russell, LSU
The last time the Browns took a quarterback with their first pick it set their franchise back, oh, about eight years. Tim Couch was a monumental flop after the Cleveland selected him with the #1 overall pick in 1999, and the Browns have struggled to find consistency at quarterback ever since. The moves the Browns have made in the offseason, upgrading the offensive line with Eric Steinbach and their running game with Jamal Lewis, lets them take a chance at one of the top two quarterbacks, if they fall. Russell is a monster for a quarterback at 265 lbs. and has a cannon for a right arm. He could come in and start right away or he could sit for a year while Charlie Frye continues to develop. The problem is everyone expects Russell to go #1, if that’s the case, the Browns could then look at Oklahoma running back Adrian Peterson or Wisconsin offensive tackle Joe Thomas. But all indications are, if either Quinn or Russell drops, the Browns would select them at #3.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- DT Amobi Okoye, Louisville
The last time John Gruden coached at the Senior Bowl, he fell for Auburn running back Cadillac Williams, who the team selected #5 overall in 2004. While most people don’t even have Amobi Okoye as the draft’s top defensive tackle, it would fill a major hole in the once proud Tampa Bay defense. The team would love if Georgia Tech wide receiver Calvin Johnson fell, and it could happen. If Johnson is gone (and don’t be surprised if they try to trade up and get him) and the team decides not to take Okoye, Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams or Wisconsin tackle Joe Thomas might draw consideration.
5. Arizona Cardinals- OT Joe Thomas, Wisconsin
Over the last few years, the Cardinals have really upgraded the overall talent of their roster. Quarterback Matt Leinart, the team’s first round selection last year, showed signs in his rookie season that he can continue the success he had in college. Wide receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are the league’s top young pass catching tandem, and last year’s signing of Edgerin James finally gave the Cardinals a 1,000 yard rusher. James’ first season in Arizona, however, can hardly be considered a success, as he saw his yards per carry drop 4.6 in 2005 to only 3.8 last year. James’ struggles, of course, aren’t his fault entirely. The Cardinals offensive line has been one of the leagues worst units for over a decade. Adding a top-notch left tackle like Joe Thomas would instantly upgrade their line, and could make them a playoff contender under new head coach Ken Wisenhunt. If Thomas is off the board, there are no other offensive linemen that would be worthy of this pick so the team could trade down. Or, they could try to improve their defense with a lineman like Gaines Adams, Alan Branch, or Jamaal Anderson.
Monday, March 26, 2007
Briggs to the Redskins for #6?
Mock Draft coming soon...5 picks at a time.
Top 5 Safeties
Top 5 Safeties
1. LaRon Landry- LSU
Senior: 6’1, 215
Projected: Top 10
2. Reggie Nelson- Florida
Junior: 5’11, 200
Projected: First round, as high as top 15
3. Michael Griffin- Texas
Senior: 6’0, 205
Projected: Late first to early second
4. Brandon Meriweather- Miami
Senior: 5’10, 195
Projected: Second round
5. Eric Weddle- Utah
Senior: 5’11, 205
Projected: Second or third round
Sleeper
Michael Johnson- Arizona
Senior: 6’2, 205
Projected: Fourth or fifth round
Coming next: Mock Draft Version 1
Top 5 Cornerbacks
Top 5 Cornerbacks
1. Leon Hall- Michigan
Senior: 5’11, 195
Projected: Top 15
2. Darrelle Revis- Pittsburgh
Junior: 5’11, 205
Projected: First round
3. Marcus McCauley- Fresno State
Senior: 6’1, 205
Projected: Late first to mid second round
4. Chris Houston- Arkansas
Junior: 5’10, 185
Projected: Late first to mid second round
5. Aaron Ross- Texas
Senior: 6’0, 195
Projected: Late first to second round
Sleeper
Travarous Bain- Hampton
Senior: 6’0, 182
Projected: Fifth or sixth round
Top 5 Outside Linebacker
Top 5 Outside Linebackers
1. Paul Posluszny- Penn State
Senior: 6’2, 240
Projected: First round
2. Jon Beason- Miami
Junior: 6’0, 237
Projected: First round
3. Rufus Alexander- Oklahoma
Senior: 6’0, 228
Projected: Second or third round
4. Lawrence Timmons- Florida State
Senior: 6’1, 235
Projected: Late first or second round
5. Stewart Bradley- Nebraska
Senior: 6’4, 255
Projected: Third to fifth round
Sleeper
Prescott Burgess- Michigan
Senior: 6’3, 240
Projected: Fourth or fifth round
Top 5 Inside Linebackers
Top 5 Inside Linebackers
1. Patrick Willis- Ole Miss
Senior: 6’1, 245
Projected: Top 15
2. David Harris- Michigan
Senior: 6'0, 243
Projected: Second round
3. Buster Davis- Florida State
Senior: 5'9, 238
Projected: Second to fourth round
4. H.B. Blades- Pittsburgh
Senior: 5'11, 236
Projected: Third or fourth round
5. Brandon Siler- Florida
Junior: 6'2, 241
Projected: Third to fifth round
Sleeper
Kelvin Smith- Syracuse
Senior: 6’2, 240
Projected: Fifth or sixth round
Top 5 Defensive Tackles
Top 5 Defensive Tackles
1. Alan Branch- Michigan
Junior: 6’6, 330
Projected: Top 15, as high as #5
2. Amobi Okoye- Louisville
Senior: 6’2, 300
Projected: Top 15
3. Justin Harrell- Tennessee
Senior: 6’4, 300
Projected: Late first to mid second round
4. Quinn Pitcock- Ohio State
Senior: 6’2, 300
Projected: Second or third round
5. Tank Tyler- NC State
Senior: 6’2, 305
Projected: Second round
Sleeper
Marcus Thomas- Florida
Senior: 6’3, 315
Projected: Fourth or fifth round
Sunday, March 25, 2007
Top 5 Defensive Ends
Top 5 Defensive Ends
1. Gaines Adams- Clemson
Senior: 6’5, 260
Projected: Top 10, as early as #4
2. Jamaal Anderson- Arkansas
Senior: 6’5, 290
Projected: Early first round,
3. Adam Carriker- Nebraska
Senior: 6’6, 300
Projected: First round
4. Jarvis Moss- Florida
Senior: 6’6, 250
Projected: Late first round
5. Anthony Spencer- Purdue
Senior: 6’3, 261
Projected: Late first to mid second round
Sleeper
Baratka Atkins- Miami
Senior: 6’4, 280
Projected: Fourth or fifth round