Monday, April 23, 2007

Done here

We've moved on and are now part of the BlogsByFans sports blogging network. Our new adress will be www.tremendousupsidepotential.com and you can see the rest of the gang at www.blogsbyfans.com

NFL Draft Player Predictions

We here at Tremendous Upside Potential have long been fans of the NFL Draft. This is probably because we root for the Chicago Bears, a team that has had more top 10 draft picks then just about anyone during our lifetime. The draft was the one time when the Dave Wannstedt and Dick Jauron Bears actually produced hope: what if Cade McNown and Curtis Enis turned out to be awesome? We could win more then 5 games!

With that being said, we can’t wait for Saturday. We couldn’t be more delighted that our Bears aren’t in the top 10 (because that means we were actually good) and think that this class is good enough where they’ll still be some solid players at picks 31 and 37. While not as good as last year’s draft class, which may go down as one of the best ever, this year’s crop of incoming talent is better then a lot of people realize. Here’s our take on which guys will be good and which guys won’t. We, like everyone else, have been hit or miss on this kind of stuff in the past, but we’re way better then Merrill Hodge (“I wouldn’t draft Vince Young until the 6th round”). So we got that goin’ on for us. These predictions are going to be pretty bold- of course anyone could be good- so forgive us if our hyperbole gets a little out of control.

Guys that will be good.

Calvin Johnson- We’d be shocked if he didn’t turn out to be one of the ten greatest wide receivers ever. Clearly the best player in the draft and in our opinion the best prospect to enter the NFL since Julius Peppers, it shouldn’t matter whether he’s catching passes in Oakland, Tampa, or Atlanta. He will be a star, and should be the league’s best pass catcher by his second or third season.

Brady Quinn- There is not a lot of love going on right now for Quinn, but we think he’s the best quarterback in this class. He doesn’t have much bust potential and dominated his junior season when he had a better offensive line and receiving core that included Maurice Stovall. We’re not too worried about his big game struggles and think he’s a future all-pro.

Joe Thomas- A giant white guy from the Big 10? Of course we love him. If he can avoid injuries,
he should be a pillar on any offensive line for the next 10 to 15 years.

LaRon Landry- Our pick for safest player in the draft after CJ, Landry will have an immediate impact wherever he goes. He’ll develop into a pro bowler and will be one of the leagues top safeties in three years.

Amobi Okoye- All the love Okoye is getting recently is worrying us just a bit, but there’s just too much to like here. A super intelligent 19 year old that seems like a model citizen could develop into a Tommie Harris like defensive tackle.

Adrian Peterson- If he didn’t have durability concerns, we think Peterson would give CJ a run for his money as the top player overall. We think he’ll be a Hall of Famer and he will begin his run of pro bowls in his rookie season. If Peterson slips out of the top 5, teams are going to be kicking themselves for years to come.

Dwayne Jarrett- Saying his pro career will be like Mike Williams’ is pretty much the most asinine statement ever. Who cares if they went to the same school. What does that possibly tell us about Jarrett as a football player? We think he’s the second best receiver in the draft’s deepest position, a future all-pro for sure. We’ve seen a few mocks where he falls to the Bears at pick 37. If that happens, we’d be ecstatic.

Paul Posluszny- Puz has been one of “my guys” the last two seasons and will be a great NFL
player. We like him as much as any of the linebackers drafted last year, with the exception of Ernie Sims.

Anthony Spencer- Spencer wrecked havoc all year on Big 10 offensive lines and should become a double digit sack master in the NFL.

“Second Tier” running backs- We think Michael Bush, Antonio Pittman, and Kenny Irons will all be solid NFL starters. They won’t be as good as Peterson (though Bush might have a chance) but should all be starters in the NFL. None of these players will be drafted in the first round just because running back isn’t really a big need for a lot of teams, but all these dudes will be good.

Guys that won’t be good.

JaMarcus Russell- If Oakland takes him over Calvin, and there is a pretty good chance it happens, we think that would be the type of draft day decision that sets a franchise back five years. Russell’s main trait is his monster right arm- something that didn’t work too well for guys like Kyle Boller and Ryan Leaf.

Leon Hall- Got torched by good receivers like Ted Ginn and Anthony Gonzalez on Ohio State.
He might be drafted ahead of Darrell Revis, but we like Revis better.

Adam Carriker- A giant white guy from the Big 12? Why would we like him. One of our buddies pointed out that the only way he’s above average is playing defensive end in a 3-4 scheme.

Ted Ginn- We’re not saying Ginn is going to totally suck, but here’s the list of receivers in the draft we would take before him: Johnson, Jarrett, Robert Meachem, Dwayne Bowe, Gonzalez, and Craig Davis.

Lawrence Timmons- A workout warrior that really isn’t a workout warrior, Timmons will be a first round pick but we don’t think he’s worth it. He only started one season at Florida State and there are questions about his effort on every play.
Check out version 1.
Updated April 22

1. Oakland Raiders- WR Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech Johnson going number one would flip everyone’s mock draft upside down. While JaMarcus Russell could still be the pick, the whole organization is not on board with him- not a good sign for a number one pick.

2. Detroit Lions- DE Gaines Adams, ClemsonThis pick will be traded if Johnson is still available with the Redskins, Bucs, and Falcons being the most likely trade partners for Matt Millen. Adams appears to be the Lions guy wherever they’re picking and would be a good fit for their rebuilt defense.

3. Cleveland Browns- QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame This will come down to Brady Quinn vs Adrian Peterson. The Romeo Crennel/Chaz Weiss connections gives BQ the edge.

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- OT Joe Thomas, Wisconsin The Bucs would love if Johnson were available, but Thomas would be great pick at four. Other options are Brady Quinn and Amobi Okoye.

5. Arizona Cardinals- S LaRon Landry, LSUThey’re said to love Peterson but can’t possibly take a running back in the first round after giving Edge James over $30 million last offseason. They would take Joe Thomas if he’s available but will settle for Landry, one of the draft’s best players.

6. Washington Redskins- DT Amobi Okoye, LouisvilleThe Skins’ would be wise to trade down considering they don’t have another day 1 pick. If they can’t, Okoye would immediately bolster a defense that underachieved in 2006.

7. Minnesota Vikings- RB Adrian Peterson, OklahomaIt’s tough to see Peterson fall further then seven as a team will probably trade up to get him if he’s still around in this part of the first round. The Vikings need a receiver but Peterson is too good to pass up.

8. Atlanta Falcons- DE Jamaal Anderson, ArkansasFalcons would love to land Calvin Johnson but could also use a pass rusher like Arkansas’ Anderson.

9. Miami Dolphins- QB JaMarcus Russell, LSURussell may go number one but could free fall if he doesn’t. The Dolphins don’t have a quarterback unless they finish a deal for KC’s Trent Green.

10. Houston Texans- MLB Patrick Willis, Ole MissThe Texans would have a tough choice here between Willis and Levi Brown. They devoted their top picks to defense last year and could do it again this time around.

11. San Francisco 49ers- DT Alan Branch, Michigan Branch is said to be falling but would be an ideal fit in San Francisco for a team that likes monsters at defensive tackle.

12. Buffalo Bills- CB Leon Hall, Michigan Dick Jauron’s crew needs a cornerback after losing Nate Clements and a running back after losing Willis McGahee. Hall should be the pick because it’s easier to find a running back in later rounds.

13. St. Louis Rams- WR Ted Ginn Jr., Ohio State The Rams are said to covet Ginn, a dynamic playmaker that could replace an aging Isaac Bruce.

14. Carolina Panthers- TE Greg Olsen, Miami The Panters could use a linebacker but will for a franchise tight end like G-Reg.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers- DE Adam Carriker, NebraskaThey could use a cornerback like Leon Hall or Darrell Revis, but Carriker would be a good fit for their 3-4 defense (assuming they still run a 3-4).

16. Green Bay Packers- RB Marshawn Lynch, California The Packers medical staff cleared Lynch after minor injuries concerns. Running back is clearly their biggest need.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars- S Reggie Nelson, Miami They could take a receiver or linebacker, but safety is also a big need and Nelson is a playmaker.

18. Cincinnati Bengals- LB Jon Beason, Miami Big Beast should have stayed in school, but will still find himself in the first round. Cincinnati may be wary of drafting a player from Miami after all their legal problems.

19. Tennessee Titans- WR Dwayne Jarrett, USCAfter losing Drew Bennett and Bobby Wade (As a Bears fan, I can’t believe I just implied losing Bobby Wade would weaken their passing attack), the Titans need a receiver. Jarrett is more accomplished then either Robert Meachem or Dwyane Bowe.

20. New York Giants- OT Joe Staley, Central MichiganOffensive line has long been a problem for the G-Men who may take a chance on a raw prospect like Staley.

21. Broncos- DE Jarvis Moss, Florida Denver needs a pass rushing d-end and Moss dominated Ohio State in the National Championship.

22. Cowboys- CB Darelle Revis, PittRevis would be a good fit for a Cowboys defense that struggles some in pass coverage. A safety like Nelson or Brandon Meriweather or an o-lineman could also be an option.

23. Chiefs- CB Chris Houston, ArkansasThe Chiefs may take a receiver but Houston is quickly rising up draft boards.

24. Patriots- S Brandon Meriweather, MiamiThe Pats don’t like to take defensive backs early in drafts, but the area has been a weakness for some time.25. Jets- LB Paul Posluszny, Penn State New York fans would love a player like Puz who would immediately start in the Jets’ 3-4. Greg Olsen would also be an option if available.

26. Eagles- WR Robert Meachem, Tennesee The Eagles could use a defensive back but Meachem is too good to pass up. My dad thinks he’ll be better then Calvin Johnson. Worth noting.

27. Saints- S Michael Griffin, TexasThe Saints D overachieved last season but still needs help in the secondary.

28. Patriots- LB Lawrence Timmons, Florida StateTimmons has the type of versatility the Pats covet.

29. Ravens- DE Anthony Spencer, PurdueSpencer could fill the hole left by Adalius Thomas.

30. Chargers- WR Dwayne Bowe, LSUBowe is a great value at this pick and would be a great target for Phillip Rivers.

31. Bears- DT Justin Harrell, Tennessee The Bears could take an o-lineman but Tank Johnson’s legal problems and Dusty Dvoracek’s injury history makes DT a need. They really don’t need a receiver but may be tempted if one slipped.

32. Colts- CB Aaron Ross, TexasThe reigning champs need a cornerback after losing Nick Harper and Jason David.

Thursday, April 19, 2007

Are You Ready? Break It Down!

...Bow to the masters, suck it!

Yeah that headline is a D-Generation X reference from 97'. Deal with it.

Before we get into the Bulls, congratulations to Mark Buehrle, the first White Sox pitcher to throw a no hitter in 16 years. Along with Paul Konerko, Buehrle has been the face of the franchise since the turn of the millennium, and has always been one of baseball’s most unheralded pitchers. Even though it appears unlikely to happen, we’d love to see Buehrle retire as a South Sider. He’s one of our favorite White Sox ever, and something like this couldn’t
happen to a better guy.

There was only one little problem. We saw like four pitches of the game! A Sox pitcher throws a no hitter for the first time since we were 3 years old, and we miss the entire thing because the Bulls were on. We were so into the Bulls game, we almost forgot the Sox were playing. The immortal Johnny Red Kerr broke the good news just as the final seconds were ticking off the Bulls’ regular season. Say what you will about Johnny Red (he’s old, senile, old, blind, deaf, old) but those were some of the best words we have ever heard come out of his mouth.
And as for the Bulls, we’re not so worried. There are going to be tons of people between now and Game 1 against the Heat saying the Bulls ruined their entire season by losing to the Nets Wednesday night. We’re definitely not buying that. One loss doesn’t overshadow the fact that this team had a fantastic season, winning more games then any Bulls team since His Airness left. It was just an enjoyable season all around. Honestly, how many NBA teams are there that are actually likable? Three maybe four? Well this Bulls team is one of the few; a group of NBA ballers that aren’t complete thugs.

That’s the best part about this Bulls team, they win the right way. All of their major components, besides for Big Ben, are homegrown, and they’re all high character guys. Nobody is taking bereavement leave to go to a strip club like Zach Randolph and getting three technical fouls every night like Rasheed Wallace. This group of guys generally seems like they like each other and they banded together to do things no post-MJ Bulls team has done. Remember like a week ago when the Knicks were flipping out because the Bulls were beating them by too much? For those of us that remember the Marcus Fizer and Jay Williams years (or year) that was one of the most enjoyable nights of the season. A few years ago, teams were running up the score on the Bulls, now it’s the other way around. We really couldn’t be happier about this transformation.

The Bulls made the transition from competitive to good this season a couple different ways. People might automatically assume that Ben Wallace played the most pivotal role in all of this, but that could be any further from the truth. The real reason the Bulls are legit is because three guys have made the jump to become all star caliber players: Luol Deng, Ben Gordon, and Kirk Hinrich. Though they’re all still young- Hinrich is the oldest at 26 and Deng is only 22- the entire trio transformed into veterans this season.

Hinrich is the best defender on the team and one of the better perimeter defenders in the league. His defense often overshadows his offense, but after Nocioni went down, Hinrich really picked up his scoring. He posted the career highs in minutes, points, field goal percentage, and three point percentage. He’s unquestionably the leader of this team on the court and runs the
show as well as any Bull since Pippen.

Deng has a great year too, probably becoming the Bulls best all around player. He’s so gifted offensively and is becoming one of the top small forwards in the NBA. Usually guys like him turn out to be second fiddles on good teams (Josh Howard, Tashaun Prince), but everyone sees Deng developing into the type of player that can carry a title contender. He improved his game as much as any player in the NBA; transforming from a 3-point chucking small forward to a dude who can score in the paint and knock down a mid-range J. He’s become one of the most versatile scorers in the Eastern Conference, and that has allowed the Bulls to contender this season.

But neither have been the teams’ most important player this season. When the Bulls recently announced their team MVP, and they awarded it to the entire team. While that’s nice, the Bulls real MVP is Gordon. The Bulls might have been able to withstand injuries to Luol and Kirk- they wouldn’t be good but they’d manage- but Gordo is the one player that was indispensable this season. Past criticisms of Ben included his streaky shooting, lack of height, and propensity to get into foul trouble. While he didn’t grow (but imagine if he did), Gordo has become a go-to scorer in this league. He finished top 20 in the association in scoring and joined A.I. as the only two players 6’3 and under to average 20 a night. He seemed to regress some in his sophomore season after a stellar rookie campaign, but Gordon’s improvement has meant more to the Bulls than anything else.

It’s also easy to forget about Notch because he missed 28 games during the second half when this team was starting to make their push, but when healthy, he can be just as important as anyone.

If there is one thing we know for sure about this Bulls team it’s that their not going to roll over for anyone. And people who think the Bulls are going to bow down against the defending champs are crazy. Honestly, we here at TUP would rather see the Bulls play the Heat then the Nets in the first round. Maybe there’s something mental blocking the Bulls from winning in New Jersey; we know that isn’t the case with Miami. The Bulls played the Heat tougher then anyone last season during the playoffs (that includes Dallas) and took 3 of 4 meeting with them this year. And don’t think Miami doesn’t remember the 42 point beat down the Bulls laid on them opening night.

Did the Bulls make things tougher for themselves by losing yesterday? Of course, but really, how good is the 2007 incarnation of the Miami Heat? People forget just how beat up the Heat are. D-Wade is more injured then he leads on, Shaq had the burden of carrying them into the playoffs for the last two months, and guys like Eddie Jones and Jason Williams have also battled injuries all season.

Objectively, it’s hard not to like the Bulls in a lot of these matchups. It’s alright to point out how Shaq could have his way with Ben Wallace (something that may or may not happen), but how about Deng and Tyrus blowing by Zo and Udonus Haslem? Wade’s injuries are going to force him to focus most of his energy on scoring, so there a decent chance Gordo explodes for 40 multiple times during this series. Jason Williams has never been good defensively, and the Glove is just plain washed up at this point. Those dogs can’t handle Captain Kirk.

The most underrated aspect of this series might be the Bulls’ big three wanting to finally garner some respect. Outside of Chicago, no one considers Hinrich, Deng, and Gordon all star caliber players, and that is what they became this season. In the NBA, more then any other league, guys yearn for that respect. They want the recognition and treatment that comes with such lofty respect and status. What better way for them to get it then by beating the defending champs?

Prediction: Bulls in 6

PS: Fuck James Posey.

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

Grading the 02' Draft


Hey remember when this website was about the NFL and NBA Draft? Boy, those were the days. Well were going to get back to that shit soon, but with baseball just starting and with the Bulls rocking (more on this tomorrow), there has just been so much going on locally. Anyways, back to draft related nonsense for a bit. They say it takes five years to grade an NFL draft class, so instead of looking back at the class of 2006, let’s peer back to the 2002 class.

1. Houston Texans- QB David Carr
Now: Backup in Carolina
The first pick in Texans’ history, Carr had mixed results in Houston playing behind a historically bad offensive line. He’s gone from Houston now, replaced by Matt Schuab, and he’ll backup Jake Delhomme in Carolina next season.
Grade: C-

2. Carolina Panthers- DE Julius Peppers
Now: Starting with Panthers
People felt about Peppers the same way they feel today about Calvin Johnson: he’s not only the best athlete, he’s the best player. Peppers has not disappointed, fighting off double and triple teams, he notched sacks 13 last season.
Grade: A

3. Detriot Lions- QB Joey Harrington
Now: Backup with Atlanta
To say Harrington’s tenure in Detroit was disappointing would be an understatement. It now appears like he’ll be a career backup, spending last season with Miami, and backing up Michael Vick in Atlanta next season.
Grade: D-

4. Buffalo Bills- OT Mike Williams
Now: Playing with Jaguars
Most people were surprised Williams was drafted before Miami Hurricane standout Bryant McKinnie, but no one expected him to be as bad as he was. A huge bust in Buffalo because he had problems controlling his weight, Williams is now a fringe backup with the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Grade: F

5. San Diego Chargers- CB Quentin Jammer
Now: Starting with Chargers
We had a lot of trouble handing out this grade, so if you’re a Chargers fan, or just smarter than us, give us a helping hand in the comments section. Jammer has not at all lived up to his lofty draft status, but San Diego locked him up with a contract extension last season.
Grade: B-

6. Kansas City Chiefs- DT Ryan Sims
Now: Plays with Chiefs
Sims could have been the Vikings problem had they got their 6th pick in on time. Sims has been a bust in Kansas City, barely getting any playing time the last 3 seasons.
Grade: D-

7. Minnesota Vikings- OT Bryant McKinnie
Now: Starting with Vikings
Mount McKinnie never gave up a sack in college, and has been a standout in the pros. He solidifies the left side of a very good Vikings o-line with guard Steve Hutchinson.
Grade: A-

8. Dallas Cowboys- S Roy Williams
Now: Starting with Cowboys
Williams has been a starter on a very good Cowboys defense since his rookie season, but has still had some problems. He’s a big hitter but struggles in coverage.
Grade: B+

9. Jacksonville Jaguars- DT John Henderson
Now: Starting with Jaguars
The Jags built their interior defensive line around the turn of the millennium with Henderson and Marcus Stroud. While not as dominant as Stroud, Henderson has been one of the better players on the Jags defense the past few seasons.
Grade: B+

10. Cincinatti Bengals- OT Levi Brown
Now: Starting with Bengals
Most famous for getting punched out Joey Porter in a casino earlier this year, Brown has done a nice job in recent years of protecting franchise QB Carson Palmer.
Grade: B

11. Indianapolis Colts- DE Dwight Freeney
Now: Starting with Colts
Freeney might have earned an A after 2005, but his sack numbers dropped a little bit last season. We just can’t give him the same grade as Peppers.
Grade: A-

12. Arizona Cardinals- DT Wendell Bryant
Now: Out of football
B-U-S-T bust, bust, bust. What a horrible pick. Maybe the Cards should never draft a d-lineman in the first round again after Bryant and Andre Wadsworth stunk up the joint. The defensive tackle out of Wisconsin never made an impact in the pros and is now out of football.
Grade: F

13. New Orleans Saints- WR Donte Stallworth
Now: Signed with Patriots
The Saints traded Stallworth last season and it opened up a spot for rookie surprise Marques Colston. Stallworth was solid in Phili and will likely become Tom Brady’s favorite target in New England next season.
Grade: B-

14. NY Giants- TE Jeremy Shockey
Now: Starting for Giants
Greg Olsen will continue the long line of Miami tight ends this season, and often draws comparisons to Shockey. Known just as well for his game as his mouth, Shockey has become one of the better tight ends in the NFL.
Grade: B+

15. Tennessee Titans- DT Albert Haynesworth
Now: Starting with Titans
Drafted out of Tennessee, Haynesworth has been a good pro since being taken by the Titans. While he is best known for stomping on some guy’s face last season, he is still one of the better players on the Titans.
Grade: B+

16. Cleveland Browns- RB William Green
Now: Out of footballIs he better or worse then guys like Tim Couch, Courtney Brown, and Gerard Warren?
Grade: F

17. Oakland Raiders- CB Phillip Buchanan
Now: Out of football
Buchanan looked good to start his career in Oakland, but then his play began to slide. The Raiders made up for absence by drafting a plethora of defensive backs early in drafts in recent years.
Grade: D-

18. Atlanta Falcons- RB TJ Duckett
Now: Plays for Redskins
Duckett was one of the D’s in the Falcons vaunted DVD rushing attack for years until he was shipped to Washington last season. He may be their third best back now, however, behind Portis and LaDell Betts.
Grade: C-

19. Denver Broncos- WR Ashley Lelie
Now: Plays for Falcons
The Falcons acquired the speedy Lelie last season from the Broncos to give Michael Vick another weapon. Lelie struggled in Atlanta doing what every other Falcons wideout did: drop passes.
Grade: C+

20. Green Bay Packers- WR Javon Walker
Now: Starts for Broncos
Walker may be the best receiver in this class, making a pro bowl or two. He has enjoyed a pretty good career with Farve’s Packers and last season after Denver traded for him.
Grade: B+

21. New England Patriots- TE Daniel Graham
Now: Signed with Broncos
Coupled with Ben Watson, the Pats took tight ends in the first round in back to back seasons. Watson worked out- now one of Brady’s favorite targets- while Graham really didn’t. He’ll take his game to Denver next season.
Grade: C-

22. NY Jets- DE Bryan Thomas
Now: Playing for Jets
Note: I’m not sure if he remembers this, but this was my Dad’s guy in this draft! While not as good as the Old Man expected, Thomas had a career season in 2006, notching 8.5 sacks. His previous career high was 3.5 sacks.
Grade: C+

23. Oakland Raiders- OLB Napoleon Harris
Now: Playing with Kansas City
Harris will forever be remembered for being traded for Randy Moss (and the #7 pick in the draft a few years ago, aka Troy Williamson. Yikes), and has now been on three teams during his career. He’s not a standout, but he has become a quality fourth linebacker.
Grade: C-

24. Baltimore Ravens- S Ed Reed
Now: Starting for Ravens
Already named Defensive Player of the Year, Reed may be the NFL’s top safety, and along with Peppers, the best player to come out of this draft.
Grade: A

25. New Orleans Saints- DE Charles Grant
Now: Starts for Saints
The Saints defense surprised people last season and the d-end tandem of Grant and Will Smith was a big reason why. Grant tallied 6 sacks in 2006.
Grade: B

26. Philadephia Eagles- CB Lito Shepard
Now: Starts for Eagles
While he is often overshadowed by his higher profile teammates in Phili, Shepard is a vital cog in the Eagles defense. And he’s a lot better then the guy drafted after him…
Grade: B+

27. San Francisco 49ers- CB Mike Rumph
Now: Playing for Jaguars
The 49ers have a good young team, but Rumph isn’t a part of it anymore. He struggled in coverage in San Fran and now plays safety for the Jaguars.
Grade: D

28. Seattle Seahawks- TE Jerramy Stevens
Now: Started for Seahawks last season
Stevens’ mouth and poor hands drew the ire of Seahawks fans during his time in Seattle. He will most be remembered for dropping multiple passes in Super Bowl 40.
Grade: C

29. Chicago Bears- OT Marc Columbo
Now: Starts with Cowboys
This looked like a safe pick at the time, but a devastating knee injury derailed Columbo’ career in his rookie season. He rebounded nicely last season, however, starting at guard for the Cowboys.
Grade: C-

30. Pittsburgh Steelers- OG Kendall Simmons
Now: Starts with Steelers
A solid starter on a good offensive line in Pittsburgh, Simmons helped the Steelers win the Super Bowl in 2005.
Grade: B

31. St. Louis Rams- MLB Robert Thomas
Now: Playing with Raiders
Thomas’s career never got off the ground in St. Louis and he now plays for Oakland.
Grade: D

32. Washington Redskins- QB Patrick Ramsey
Now: Backup with Jets
Ramsey was never the same after Bears linebacker Lance Briggs atomic clothlined him in the first week of the 2005 season. He will compete with Kellen Clemens to backup Chad Pennington in New York next season.
Grade: C-

Tuesday, April 17, 2007

Most Hated Athlete Ever?

This summary is not available. Please click here to view the post.

Brian Anderson Needs To Play


If there is one thing White Sox fans know about Ozzie Guillen, it’s that he plays favorites with the guys on his roster. Get on his good side, and you’ll see plenty of at bats. Get on his bad side, and you’ll be riding the bench, or as Brandon McCarthy and Sean Tracy will tell you, shipped out of town.

For whatever reason, Brian Anderson has been unable to reach Guillen’s good side since he began last season as the club’s opening day center fielder. One reason could be because he was playing the shadow of Aaron Rowand. One of the most popular players from the White Sox championship team in 2005, Rowand was dealt to the Phillies in exchange for Jim Thome shortly after the tickertape stopped raining down. Guillen loved Rowand as much as anyone, and maybe any young player thrust into centerfield in his place would have been doomed from the start. Anderson didn’t help himself either by hitting about .180 through the first half of the season. It seemed like no matter how good he was after the all star break, Brian Anderson had already dug himself a pretty deep hole with his manager.

But after the all star game was when Anderson really started to come into his own. He was able to finish the year with a .225 batting average, pretty impressive when you consider how horrible he was the first two months of the season, and emerged as one of the American League’s premier defensive centerfielders. Even as Anderson was cranking out doubles in August and September and providing the club with defense that was at least 90% as good as what Rowand did a year before, Ozzie continued to split his at bats with Rob Mackowiack.

Mackowiack was god awful in center, as he was primarily third basemen for most of his career with the Pittsburgh Pirates, but he was one of Ozzie’s guys so it really didn’t matter. The platoon was especially curious when you consider the last thing the White Sox needed was more offense. They had four guys jack 30 or more home runs last season, so you would think that the offense would be able to withstand Anderson hitting eighth or ninth. The Sox main problem in 2006 was their pitching, a department where Anderson’s stellar defense could have helped by saving some more runs late in the season.

The only move the White Sox made in the offseason was signing veteran Darren Erstad who was supposed to be Anderson’s competition for the centerfield spot in spring training. It must never have really been a competition, however, as Erstad was handed the starting job despite being outperformed in spring by Anderson.

After only getting seven at bats through the first 11 games of this season, now is the time for Anderson to start playing more. Erstad has been anything but spectacular so far, only hitting .189, and while his defense is better then Mackowiack’s was last season, it still isn’t what Anderson brings to the table.

I know Ozzie likes Erstad because he’s a gritty veteran and because it allows him to hit Iguchi deeper in the lineup, but Brian Anderson deserves another shot. Looking at the situation objectively, playing Anderson would be far better for the future of the ball club. Anderson’s only 24 and Sox should see what they really have in him. They already traded away one centerfield who looks like he’s going to be a future star, Chris Young in Arizona, so the organization owes it to themselves to see what Anderson can give them. Unless your name is Delmon Young, young players always have trouble adjusting to major league pitching, and Anderson showed solid improvement offensively in last year’s second half. He already brings great defense, and if the kid gets regular at bats, who knows, he might even start to hit consistently.

But the way Guillen is using Anderson so far this season is pretty much the worst way possible. It would be better for him to playing everyday in Triple-A Charlotte then to be rotting on the bench in the majors. If the Sox don’t start to give Anderson a shot at more playing time soon, then they may never know how good he could have been.

Monday, April 16, 2007

Seriously, I Feel Bad For You Guys.


The Cubs had a lot to be optimistic about coming into this season, they really did. But what a difference 11 games can make. A disappointing 4-7 start has already taken a toll on an entire fan base that is seemingly bracing themselves for another awful year. For all that money they spent in the offseason, things just aren’t going the Cubs’ way right now. Their new manager flipped out after only 9 games. Their new center fielder, all $136 million of him, is hitting only .234 without a home run and only one RBI. Their cleanup hitter is already battling a lingering injury.

Maybe that’s why this week’s news that Mark Prior and Kerry Wood aren’t coming back anytime soon really didn’t cause a commotion. There are just too many other depressing things to focus on. Two guys that were once considered a one way ticket to the promise land for a franchise that hasn’t been there in nearly 100 years now seem to be out of the long term plan.

I’m a White Sox fan, and even I feel bad for these Cubbies. Can you ever remember a franchise in any sport that pinned so much hope on two young players, only to have both become colossal busts during the time when they should be in the prime of their careers?

Though Jim Hendry and Lou Pinella said throughout spring training that this season won’t be all about Prior and Wood, inevitably, it always will be. Until they’re retired or playing night games in a different color uniform, every Cubs season will suffer from the hope and eventual disappointment that both right-handers bring. Even this year, when their expectations have never been lower, Cubs fans are left to imagine how much better the club would be if both were finally healthy. If Prior was a solid #4 starter and if Wood could help solidify a shaky bullpen, maybe that would help turn a lackluster start around. It’s not like they’re both being asked to win 20 games anymore, but the pressure Mark Prior and Kerry Wood shoulder is still some of the heaviest in baseball.

This may not seem wholly logical, but the only way for the Cubs to ever compete is to get rid of both of them. While Wood’s days in Cubbie blue are numbered as his one year contract runs out after 2007, Prior might be sticking around a little longer. Remember at the beginning of last season when a potential Prior for Miguel Tejada deal drew the ire of Cub fans everywhere? If only they could go back and make that deal a reality. Then maybe the franchise could finally move on.

Sunday, April 15, 2007

Oden Not Turning Pro Yet

Contrary to a published report, Greg Oden has not yet decided his basketball future. This according to Mike Conley Sr., one day after Greg Oden Sr. said his son was leaving Ohio State for the NBA. Conley Sr., who is expected to be Oden’s agent whenever his professional career begins, said Oden has not committed to turning pro just yet.


"No. Definitely not. Not to say he's not going to decide that -- but, 100 percent, as of this moment, he hasn't decided," Conley, father of Oden's high school and college teammate, Mike Conley Jr., told The Associated Press.
"I talk to his mother every day, and I talk to [Ohio State coach] Thad Matta every day, and if Thad Matta and his mother and I don't know, then how can anyone else know?"
The news that Oden may not leave Columbus after just one year will surprise a lot of people, but I’ve figured all along that Oden would return to Ohio State for his sophomore season. Oden just seems like a different kind of cat; he’s unbelievably humble and said earlier this season that he feels he still needs to work on his game at the college level. He even told ESPN’s Andy Katz that after he found out he needed surgery on his right wrist, he asked Ohio State coach Thad Matta if he could redshirt. If anyone else of Oden’s stature said that it would be assumed they were joking, but I’m not sure if Greg Oden knows how to be funny. He will almost certainly be the #1 pick whenever he comes out, so Oden may not feel the pressure most college ballers do to make their millions right away.

And if Oden doesn’t come out, that would beg the question, just how good is this incoming draft class? For a year people have been saying how this is one of the most stacked classes in NBA history with two guaranteed blue chippers at the top (Oden and Durant), and a slew of other freshman (not to mention Florida’s trio of juniors) who were barred from entering the NBA out of high school because of a new rule passed by David Stern. If Oden goes back to school, Durant is the for-sure number one pick, but who would go after him? Guys like Al Horford, Brendan Wright, and Corey Brewer are all considered possible top 5 picks, but now one of those guys has to go #2 to an NBA team pissed off they didn’t land Oden or Durant.

For my money, I think Oden would be dumb not to go pro. Another year in college won’t fix any of his flaws because he dominates college ball already. He won’t need to work on his footwork and post moves because in college he can get by on his pure size and strength, something that won’t work for him in the NBA. But I’d love to see Oden go back to Ohio State just see the looks on the faces of all the NBA GM’s that instructed their teams to tank during the last two months of the NBA season. All that losing for nothing. Take that Milwaukee.

Starters Carrying White Sox


Despite only having a .500 record, Ozzie Guillen has to like what he’s seeing from his Chicago White Sox so far this season. While the middle of the lineup has gotten off to a slow start, the starting pitching has picked up the load, showing signs that a poor 2006 may have been an aberration.

Every starter has now pitched twice and they have all thrown the ball better in their second start. The rotation’s biggest surprise thus far has to be Javier Vazquez. Vazquez was inconsistent last season as he struggled to get out of the fifth inning, but this year he has pitched better than any Sox starter. Leading the rotation with a 1.50 ERA, Vazquez is keeping himself out of trouble because he is striking guys out. In his two games he has pitched 12 innings and has 12 strikeouts. If that ratio holds throughout the season, the extension he recently signed, 3 years for more than 30 million dollars, will be viewed as a bargain.

Jose Contreas had a horrible opening day against the Indians but pitched great in his second start in Oakland. Though he had trouble getting his split finger over the plate for strikes, Contreras still went six innings and allowed only one run against a pesky A’s lineup. No one expects him to pitch as well as he did through the middle of last season, winning 17 straight decisions at one point, but he will have to steady for the White Sox to keep pace in the AL Central. Even though he was the opening day starter the Sox really don’t need him to be a true ace. If he can eat up innings and keep his walks down, Contreras should have a good 2007.

He was viewed as a question mark coming into the season, but John Danks has pitched better than anyone expected through his first two major league starts. The only runs he has given up this season have come off home runs and Danks hasn’t let the dingers rattle him. He’s shown tremendous poise on the mound for such a young pitcher and is living up to his lofty billing so far. Danks pitched well on Saturday against the Indians, going 5 1/3, allowing 7 hits, but only two runs.

The Sox other two starters, Jon Garland and Mark Buehrle, have been predictably solid to open the season. Buehrle had an awful second half in 2006 which seemed to lower expectations for him this year. People seem to forget that he has only had two bad halves his entire career and is showing that he will return to form this season. Pitching seven strong innings and giving up three runs against the A’s on Friday, Buehrle proved that a wrist injury he suffered in his first start had no lingering effect. While the game Buehrle pitched on Wednesday was good, Jon Garland was dominate the day before. Garland allowed just three hits in his second start on Tuesday against the A’s, going seven innings and not allowing an earned run. Winning 18 games each of the last two seasons, Garland was second in AL in victories in 2006, only behind Johan Santana.

If Garland can pitch the way he has the past two seasons, and if Buehrle can keep from going into a prolonged slump, the two should carry the White Sox rotation. Vazquez hasn’t pitched this good since he was in Montréal, and his performance this season could decide who wins the AL Central. Contreras just has to keep the offense in the game and anything the Sox get from Danks this season has to be considered gravy. The middle of the lineup will start hitting eventually and Scott Podsednik and Juan Uribe, two players who struggled mightily in 2006, have been spectacular so far. Though the season is only ten games old, the White Sox are already showing they should compete in 2007.

Friday, April 13, 2007

Would The Bulls Be Better With Eddy Curry?


There was a great article in the Sun Times yesterday about the Eddy Curry trade. It’s hard to believe Curry, one of the most polarizing players in Bulls history, has been in New York for two full seasons now. Most people blasted John Paxson for not getting enough in return when he shipped Curry to the Knicks for a couple draft picks, but the emergence of Tyrus Thomas and possibility of the Bulls landing another high lottery pick look like pretty good compensation for the 24 year old center.

But did the Bulls really get the better end of the deal? Would the Bulls be better this season if they still had Eddy Curry?

Seemingly the only thing keeping the Bulls from a being a shoe-in for the NBA Finals this season is their lack of a low post scoring threat. Eddy Curry could have been that guy. Playing a career high 35 minutes a game for the Knicks this season, Curry is averaging over 19 points and 7 rebounds a game. He recently dropped 43 in a road win over the Bucks including a game tying 3 pointer at the end of regulation. Before the Knicks recent string of injuries, which saw them lose David Lee, Stephon Marbury, and Jamal Crawford, Curry had New York right in the playoff hunt at 29-34. Remember, the only reason the Bulls traded Curry in the first place was because he refused to take a DNA test after it was found that he had a potentially life threatening heart condition, something that has yet to ever effect his career.

Had the Bulls kept Curry the roster could look completely different. They wouldn’t have Tyrus Thomas, probably wouldn’t have Ben Wallace, and might still have Tyson Chandler. While the Wallace versus Chandler debate could go either way, it’s impossible to overlook the impact Tyrus Thomas has had on the Bulls in the second half of the season. With Andres Nocioni virtually missing the entire half, Thomas stepped in and gave the Bulls’ bench a much needed surge. He was as important as anyone in games against the Celtics and Cavs, and his tip-in as time expired gave the Bulls a huge road win over the Denver Nuggets. Thomas’ big play ability is something the Bulls never got from Curry and it adds another dimension to the team on both ends of the court. His block of a Josh Smith dunk in Atlanta and his block-to-dunk sequence in New Orleans could be two of the best plays of the NBA season, and both were momentum changers that led to Bulls’ victories.

And don’t forget the Bulls will swap first round picks with New York this year. If the season ended today, the Knicks, at 32-46, would have the eight worst record in basketball. The Bulls could look to add a big man with that pick. If they get lucky, Ohio State’s Greg Oden would make the Bulls one of the NBA’s elite teams for the next decade (I’m on the record as a Durant guy, but the Bulls would be dumb not take Oden). Even if the pick stays at eight, the Bulls should have options with big men like Washington center Spencer Hawes, Florida forward Joakim Noah, and Georgetown center Roy Hibbert all likely available.

While having Curry would add another dimension to the Bulls offense, the pieces added via the trade with the Knicks more than make up for his absence. With the draft picks the Bulls acquired from the trade they have basically rebuilt again, only this time a steady foundation is already in place with guys like Kirk Hinrich, Ben Gordon, and Luol Deng. It would be unfair to say New York got fleeced in the deal, but trade let the Bulls add some young pieces that should have them competing in the Eastern Conference for years to come.

Things You Should Read



Yeah, I know some of these links are pretty old, but they’re all awesome.

1. This gets my vote for the best quote in the history of sports.

2. HUGE NEWS: Devin Hester will have a 100 speed rating in Madden 08’!!! If that doesn’t deserve triple exclamation points I don’t know what does. This post also became my favorite Deadspin thread ever. I advise you read the whole thread, but some of the highlights include:

•Grossman got a 100 for sex appeal. (if you don’t get this click here.)

•Tom Brady got 100 for fertility.

•Kyle Orton got a 100 for Proof of Bloodstream.

•Pacman got a 100 in ones for making it rain.

•Charlie Rose got a 100 for fagging out.

•T.O. got 100 in asshole.

3. A great post on Sammy Sosa over at AOL Fanhouse by the dude who runs Foul Balls.

4. I wrote last month about the Suns possibly getting Kevin Durant, and now what do you know, everyone has jumped on the bandwagon. You can read about here at AOL Fanhouse and here at The Big Lead.

5. One word. Bukkake.




  • Oh, and we'll still be writing over here, we're just gonna make our posts at both places. So to all our loyal readers (aka Andy and dude who writes the killer NFL Draft blog) you can still post comments over here. It's all good.

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Site News

we're gonna be over here now: http://www.blogsbyfans.com/tup/

If you could, post comments there.

Great Idea: The Bears and Calvin Johnson




One of my buddies brought this to my attention, and needless to say it got me excited. There is a chance the Bears could get Calvin Johnson. Everyone knows Detroit wants to trade out of the two hole, presumably to land Gaines Adams, a guy who Rod Marinelli envisions playing the Simeon Rice role in Detroit's new look defense. So here's what the Bears do. First, they make the Briggs trade with the Redskins.





I've said all along that the Bears should just sign Briggs to a long term deal- they have the cap room and weakside linebacker is vital to the cover 2- but Angelo said last week that a long term deal is very unlikely at this point. So the Bears have to make a trade and the deal with the Redskins is a pretty good one. That will put them at #6. If JaMarcus Russell goes number 1, there is going to be a bidding war for Detroit’s number 2 selection that will most likely include the Falcons and Bucs. The Bears should get in on that.


As I detailed in an earlier post, the Bears really don’t need anyone who would be available at six, but they could definitely use Calvin Johnson, the best player in this draft and possibly the best wide receiver prospect ever. The Bears should outbid Tampa Bay and Atlanta, and go hog wild to make a deal with Detroit happen. They might have to give up a lot- a few years ago the Browns gave the Lions their next years first round pick just to move up one spot to grab Kellen Winslow Jr.- but it would be worth it.




Just imagine CJ in a Bears uniform. He’d immediately be the Bears #1 receiver and could dominate a relatively weak pool of NFC North defensive backs right away. The best part of potentially grabbing Johnson? He would make Rex Grossman awesome. No NFL player was more maligned last year then Grossman, but give him Calvin Johnson and there is at least a 50% chance he turns into the best quarterback in the NFC. You couldn’t build a more perfect receiver for Grossman then CJ, a guy who’s basically a cross between T.O. and Randy Moss without the character issues. Rex could take his seven step drops- out of the shotgun this year!- and chuck it down field all game long. Johnson has the speed (4.35) and size (239 lbs) that he would come down with those jump balls all the time. How unreal would a Bears offense be that pounded the rock with Cedric Benson on first and second down and then chucked it downfield to CJ whenever they needed a big play. You could not tell me that wouldn’t work.


Of course, the deal would be contingent on the Raiders taking Russell number 1, something that is looking less likely as we inch towards the draft. But if Johnson is available at 2, Jerry Angelo would strongly have to consider trading up in the draft for the first time in his tenure.

Wednesday, April 11, 2007

Bears Schedule Announced


People are going to be talking about how hard this Bears schedule is, but it isn't that bad. The first three games, at San Diego, and at home against KC and Dallas, are going to tough, but the Bears still have six games against the NFC North which isn't very good.


Yeah, Green Bay showed improvement last year by finishing 8-8 with the youngest team in the league, but the Packers roster isn't exactly loaded with talent. Minnesota is going to be a joke unless they can get a quarterback (otherwise let the Tavarus Jackson Era begin!), and Detroit should be better but their defense is still a couple years away from letting them compete (even if they do draft Gaines Adams).


A road test at Phili in the middle of the year should be a decent barometer to find out how good this Bears team is really going to be, and weeks 11-13 could be tough as Seattle always plays pretty well at home and facing Denver is never easy. At least the last half of the Bears schedule should allow them to build up some momentum for the postseason. They have New Orleans the last game of the season, but things should be pretty much wrapped up by then (no one else in North should finish better than 7-9), and I'd be surprised if the Saints even made the playoffs this year. Just taking a quick look at the schedule I'm going to say the Bears should win at least 11 or 12 games easy, with or without Lance Briggs.


week 1: @ San Diego
week 2: vs. Kansas City
week 3: vs. Dallas
week 4: @ Detroit
week 5: @ Green Bay
week 6: vs. Minnesota
week 7: @ Philadelphia
week 8:vs. Detroit
week 9: Bye
week 10:@ Oakland
week 11: @ Seattle
week 12: vs. Broncos
week 13: vs. Giants
week 14: @ Washington (Thursday Night)
week 15: @ Minnesota (Monday Night)
week 16: vs. Packers
week 17: vs. Saints

Scott Skiles Still Hates Eddy Curry

Lost in last night's beat down of Knicks was this little gem in the Sun-Times today.
''Eddy's having a very good year, but it seems like he's being put on a
pedestal here awful quickly,'' Skiles said. ''I don't think that's
necessarily
fair to him because he's still such a young player [24].

It made me remember one of my all-time favorite sports quotes. I believe it was in the middle of the 2003 season, Curry was starting to break out offensivly, but he was getting out rebounded by guards which didn't make Skiles very happy(Curry didn't even average double digit rebounds his senior year of high school). That led to this exchange:

Reporter: "Scott, what do you think Eddy can do to improve his rebounding?"
Skiles: "Jump"

Ah, the good old days.

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

NBA Draft Notes


The deadline for underclassmen to declare for the NBA Draft isn't until April 29, but already some of college basketball's top prospects are leaving school early. The big news today was that Kevin Durant will leave Texas after only one season. The first freshman to ever win the John Wooden Award, Durant ranked fourth in the nation in both scoring and rebounding. He is a consensus top two selection who reminds scouts of a cross between Dirk Nowitzki and Tracy McGrady. He may be the most NBA ready prospect to enter the league since Tim Duncan in 1997.


Florida's four juniors announced last week that they are also turning pro. Corey Brewer, Al Horford, and Joakim Noah are all considered top 10 picks, and point guard Tauren Green should be selected in the second round. Noah probably would have been the top pick had he decided to come out last season, and now may be the third player chosen from his own team. Horford should go top 5, as early as number 3. No player boosted their NBA stock in the tournament as much as Brewer, who could go between 3 and 7.


The two other big players to leave school this week were Washington center Spencer Hawes, who played just one year for the Huskies, and Kansas forward Julian Wright. Wright repeatedly said he was coming back to school for his junior season, but is considered the best pro prospect on a stacked Kansas team. Neither player has signed an agent yet which means they can return to school. Both are expected to be lottery picks.


Greg Oden is considered by most to be the best NBA prospect in college basketball, but has yet to declare for the draft. Fellow Ohio State freshman Mike Conley Jr. would be considered by most the top point guard if he came out and would be a lottery selection. Conley said during the season that he will return to school but is now said to be rethinking that strategy.

White Sox Thoughts

Sox thoughts through week 1. Record:3-3

  • Good to Scotty Pods starting off hot, he’s as important he’s as important as anyone in the lineup. Hitting over .360 coming into Oakland, Podsednik went 3-4 with a homer on Monday and scored a couple runs. All the nagging injuries he’s had since the second half of 2005 might be finally healed now, and that would be huge for the top of the Sox order.

  • Mixed thoughts on Darrin Erstad so far. I really thought Brian Anderson was going to break out this season- now it seems clear that he’s not in the White Sox future plans. Because they’re paying Erstad in peanuts, he was a good signing no matter what. Veteran’s like Erstad are important in the clubhouse; he’s a good veteran presence who knows how to steal a base and still has a little speed left. He also let’s Ozzie hit Iguchi seventh or eighth, which is something they wanted to do last season but Uribe couldn’t handle the heat in the 2 hole.

  • You have to be impressed with John Danks. Making his first major league start against the best pitcher in baseball, the only runs he allowed came from a three jack hit by the reigning AL MVP. Its good Danks was able to make the rotation this year because it gives him a full season where he won’t have too much pressure on him. With Buerhle maybe leaving after this season, and with Contreas getting old and bad, Danks could be the third starter next season if he continues to develop.

  • The bullpen has pitched well so far. Massett, Sisco, and Aardsma all look legit. Massett could play a big role this season because he’s the Sox only long reliever, and Sisco looks as good as advertised. Aardsma has the highlight of the season so far, coming in with the bases loaded against the Indians and striking out the side. It was a little reminiscent of El Duque in game three of the 2005 ALDS against the Red Sox.

Sunday, April 8, 2007

The Whole Enchilada : Mock Draft version 1

Mock Draft
Version 1: Updated March 27-April 8

1. Oakland Raiders- WR Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech

Before the college football season even began, Notre Dame’s Brady Quinn was pegged for the top pick in the 2007 Draft. But after an up-and-down season that included back-to-back loses to USC and LSU, Quinn’s stock began to drop. For months, everyone has assumed that Quinn’s counterpart in the Sugar Bowl, LSU’s JaMarcus Russell, would be chosen #1 overall. The Raiders desperately need a quarterback and Russell has the kind of measurable that Raiders’ owner Al Davis covets. While Russell has not done anything to lose his hold on the #1 overall pick, Georgia Tech wideout Calvin Johnson may have done enough to steal it away from him. Bigger then most linebackers in this class, Johnson took a step into the next stratosphere when he ran a 4.35 40 yard dash at the combine, while weighing in at 240 lbs. This pick probably only happens if the Raiders do two things: a) acquire a veteran quarterback like Trent Green or David Carr, and b) trade Randy Moss. If those two things happen, Johnson’s immense talent should be too much for the Raiders to pass up.

2. Detroit Lions- QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame

The Lions said early in the draft process that they were satisfied with quarterback Jon Kitna, a veteran who put up the best Detroit passing numbers of the decade. But Kitna is in his mid 30’s and is nearing the end of his career, and Notre Dame’s Brady Quinn may be too good to pass up. Once rumored to possibly slip out of the top 10, Quinn has impressed enough in his post-season workouts to warrant a pick this high. If the Lions decide that quarterback is not their most pressing need, then the team could go after Wisconsin tackle Joe Thomas, Georgia Tech wide receiver Calvin Johnson, or Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams.

3. Cleveland Browns- QB JaMarcus Russell, LSU

The last time the Browns took a quarterback with their first pick it set their franchise back, oh, about eight years. Tim Couch was a monumental flop after the Cleveland selected him with the #1 overall pick in 1999, and the Browns have struggled to find consistency at quarterback ever since. The moves the Browns have made in the offseason, upgrading the offensive line with Eric Steinbach and their running game with Jamal Lewis, lets them take a chance at one of the top two quarterbacks, if they fall. Russell is a monster for a quarterback at 265 lbs. and has a cannon for a right arm. He could come in and start right away or he could sit for a year while Charlie Frye continues to develop. The problem is everyone expects Russell to go #1, if that’s the case, the Browns could then look at Oklahoma running back Adrian Peterson or Wisconsin offensive tackle Joe Thomas. But all indications are, if either Quinn or Russell drops, the Browns would select them at #3.

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- DT Amobi Okoye, Louisville
The last time John Gruden coached at the Senior Bowl, he fell for Auburn running back Cadillac Williams, who the team selected #5 overall in 2004. While most people don’t even have Amobi Okoye as the draft’s top defensive tackle, it would fill a major hole in the once proud Tampa Bay defense. The team would love if Georgia Tech wide receiver Calvin Johnson fell, and it could happen. If Johnson is gone (and don’t be surprised if they try to trade up and get him) and the team decides not to take Okoye, Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams or Wisconsin tackle Joe Thomas might draw consideration.

5. Arizona Cardinals- OT Joe Thomas, Wisconsin

Over the last few years, the Cardinals have really upgraded the overall talent of their roster. Quarterback Matt Leinart, the team’s first round selection last year, showed signs in his rookie season that he can continue the success he had in college. Wide receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are the league’s top young pass catching tandem, and last year’s signing of Edgerin James finally gave the Cardinals a 1,000 yard rusher. James’ first season in Arizona, however, can hardly be considered a success, as he saw his yards per carry drop 4.6 in 2005 to only 3.8 last year. James’ struggles, of course, aren’t his fault entirely. The Cardinals offensive line has been one of the leagues worst units for over a decade. Adding a top-notch left tackle like Joe Thomas would instantly upgrade their line, and could make them a playoff contender under new head coach Ken Wisenhunt. If Thomas is off the board, there are no other offensive linemen that would be worthy of this pick so the team could trade down. Or, they could try to improve their defense with a lineman like Gaines Adams, Alan Branch, or Jamaal Anderson.


6. Washington Redskins- DE Gaines Adams, Clemson

The Redskins are quickly turning into the NFL’s version of the New York Knicks. The past few offseasons have been filled with big name free agent signings who have failed to help the team produce wins. This offseason has been no different, as Washington shelled out big money contracts to London Fletcher-Baker, Jason Fabini, and Fred Smoot. Their defense, which was one of the league’s premier units in 2005, struggled in 2006 in large part because they couldn’t put pressure on the quarterback. Enter Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams with the sixth overall pick. A natural pass rusher with good size at 6’5, 260 lbs., Adams would start right away and immediately improve the Redskins pass rush. Of course, this pick has been rumored to go to the Chicago Bears in exchange for Lance Briggs. The pick would put the Bears in strange position because they have very few holes. If the Bears do acquire this pick, they could reach for Penn State offensive tackle Levi Brown, or cut ties with defensive tackle Tank Johnson and take Amobi Okoye or Alan Branch. The most likely scenario for the Bears, however, would be to trade down to a team looking for Adrian Peterson or LaRon Landry, and stockpile picks.

7. Minnesota Vikings- DE Jamaal Anderson, Arkansas

After a promising start to the 2006 season, the Vikings slipped back into mediocrity. Head Coach Brad Childress spent his first season building the teams offensive line and running game, and now he must turn his attention to the defense. Two players, Arkansas defensive end Jamaal Anderson and LSU safety LaRon Landry, should still be on the board here, and both would immediately bolster a Vikings defense that struggled throughout last year. The Vikings have spent first round picks in recent years on defensive ends Kenechi Uduze and Erasamus James, but both have failed to live up to expectations. Anderson would give them a premier edge rusher who is drawing comparisons to the game’s top defensive players. If one of the quarterbacks slip, Minnesota might be tempted to pull the trigger. The team also has a big need at wide receiver after Troy Williamson, the #7 pick in the 2004 draft, seemed to drop more balls than he caught.

8. Atlanta Falcons- RB Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma

It would be very hard to see Adrian Peterson slipping this far, I have him as the second best prospect overall, and if he gets past Cleveland there may be teams looking to trade up to get him. If not for durability concerns, Peterson could be considered one of the most complete running prospects in a long time. When healthy, he carried the Sooners offense on his back and made them one of the elite teams in the country almost single-handedly. Atlanta has a good running back in Warrick Dunn, but a prospect like Peterson would be too good to pass up with the #8 pick.

9. Miami Dolphins- DT Alan Branch, Michigan

A mountain of a man at 6’6 and 330 lbs., Alan Branch has the ability to dominate an offensive line. While his production in college was a bit underwhelming, Branch has everything you look for in a dominant run stopper in the middle of the line. The Dolphins defense struggled last year, while their offense failed to find consistency. Daunte Culpepper cannot be counted on as a franchise quarterback any longer, so if either Russell or Quinn slips, the Dolphins would have to take a good look at them.

10. Houston Texans- S LaRon Landry, LSU

Nobody drew more criticism on draft day last year then the Texans. By passing up Reggie Bush and Vince Young for Mario Williams, the Texans made a clear statement saying they were building their team around defense. Williams struggled in his first year, finishing with only 4.5 sacks, but he and fellow rookie DeMeco Ryans prove the Texans defense has a bright future. Dunta Robinson is a very good cornerback, but the team could still use a playmaker in the secondary like LaRon Landry. Already drawing comparison’s to Ed Reed, Landry is a true impact player that could take the Houston defense to the next level. If Landry is gone, the team could look to help out new quarterback Matt Schaub by taking either Ohio State wide receiver Teddy Ginn Jr., or Penn State left tackle Levi Brown.

11. San Francisco 49ers- MLB Patrick Willis, Ole Miss

The 49ers were one of the NFL’s most surprising teams last year. Their young offense grew up fast with Alex Smith rebounding from a disappointing rookie year, and Frank Gore becoming one of the league’s top running backs, rushing for over 1,600 yards. San Francisco now has to focus on building their defense, already signing cornerback Nate Clements to an 8 year, $80 million contract. Patrick Willis was one of college football’s top inside linebackers last year and is quickly moving up draft charts. After running a 4.38 at his pro day, the Ole Miss product is now considered a legit top 15 selection. The 49ers could decide to add a defensive lineman like Amobi Okoye or Alan Branch, if they’re available, or they could go with a wide receiver like Ted Ginn Jr., or USC’s Dwayne Jarrett.

12. Buffalo Bills- CB Leon Hall, Michigan

The Bills better make this pick count because they’ve already had one of the roughest offseasons in the league. They traded running back Willis McGahee to the Ravens for only a couple of third round picks, and cornerback Nate Clements left for San Francisco. The Bills could look to fill one of those two holes with this pick, taking a running back like Marshawn Lynch or a cornerback for Michigan’s Leon Hall. Hall is considered the top corner in this draft and would immediately help ease the loss of Clements.

13. St. Louis Rams- DE Adam Carriker, Nebraska

The moves the Rams made to improve their defense last year didn’t work out, so St. Louis will reload on that side of the ball in this draft. A linebacker like Patrick Willis or Paul Posluszny could be the pick, but a talent like Carriker would immediately bolster there defensive line. At 6’6, 300 lbs., Carriker is athletic enough to defensive end and strong to play defensive tackle. That versatility should only help his stock come draft day.

14. Carolina Panthers- TE Greg Olsen, Miami

The Panthers had high hopes for their 2006 season, picked by many to win the NFC. But injuries and inconsistent quarterback play doomed Carolina, as they finished a disappointing 8-8. Since there won’t be a quarterback available that would warrant this pick, the Panthers could decide to give Jake Delhomme more weapons. A wide receiver like Ted Ginn or Dwayne Jarrett could help out, but Miami’s Greg Olsen would add a dimension the Carolina offense has lacked since Wesley Walls retired. Kyle Wright and the Miami offense struggled passing the ball last season, but Olsen’s postseason workouts overshadow any concern of a disappointing junior season.

15. Pittsburgh Steelers- OT Levi Brown, Penn State

You could make a case for a linebacker with this pick, after the Steelers lost Joey Porter in free agency to the Miami Dolphins. But the team’s top concern should be protecting Ben Roethlisberger, who an extremely disappointing 2006. Penn State’s Levi Brown is unanimously considered the class’ second best tackle and could go in the top 10. If Brown in gone, the Steelers could consider Florida State linebacker Lawrence Timmons or Penn State’s Paul Posluszny.

16. Green Bay Packers- RB Marshawn Lynch, California

Considering the overall talent level of its roster, the Packers overachieved last year. Not being eliminated from playoff contention until after the final week of the season, the Packers young defense showed signs that it could evolve into one of the league’s best. The offseason, however, has not been so kind to their offense. Losing running back Ahmad Green in free agency to the Texans, the Packers will try to add playmakers and team speed on offense in the draft. A wide receiver, like Dwayne Jarrett or Ohio State’s Ted Ginn is an option, but Cal’s Marshawn Lynch would be an ideal fit. Lynch could go as high as 12 to the Bills, who lost Willis McGahee to the Ravens, but he would likely be the pick here if available.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars- LB Paul Posluszny, Penn State

The Jaguars offense struggled to find consistency in 2006, partly because they lacked stability at quarterback. Byron Leftwich and David Garrard took turns running the offense, and both led them to mediocre results. One positive of the Jags was the emergence of second round pick Maurice Jones-Drew. Veteran running back Fred Taylor seemed to take Drew under his wing, as the rookie rushed for 13 touchdowns. Jacksonville could look to upgrade its defense with its first pick, and Paul Posluszny would be great choice. Following in the tradition of great Penn State linebackers like Jack Ham and Lavar Arrington, Puz won the Butkus award as a junior and led the Nitney Lions defense in tackles as a senior. If they opt to address their secondary, a safety like Reggie Nelson would make be an immediate upgrade.

18. Cincinnati Bengals- LB Jon Beason, Miami

The Bengals on-field performance was overshadowed horrendous off-field behavior in 2006. Carson Palmer’s return from knee surgery was about the only good story for a Bengals team that saw nine players get arrested. So what do the do with their first round pick in this draft? They select a linebacker from the morally sound football program in Coral Gables! Although many felt he was better served to stay another year in school, Miami’s Jon “Big Beast” Beason was one of the few consistent parts in a Miami team that underachieved in 2006. Cornerback is another concern for the Bengals who could also target someone like Pitt’s Darrelle Revis. No word yet on how Beason’s commitment to the Seventh Floor Crew will affect his draft status.

19. Tennessee Titans- WR Dwayne Jarrett, USC

The Titans were among the most pleasant of surprises in the 2006 NFL season. Vince Young proved all his draft day detractors wrong (nice call Merrill Hodge) by leading Tennessee to an 8-8 record with a team that had limited offensive weapons. Though it was further along then most expected, Young still has a little work to do on his passing game, so adding a wide receiver makes sense with this pick. After losing top wideout Drew Bennett, a receiver seems like their top priority, and there should be a lot of good ones available. LSU’s Dwayne Bowe, USC’s Dwayne Jarrett, and Ohio State’s Ted Ginn all excel in different aspects, but Jarrett is the most complete of all of them. Breaking the Pac 10 record for touchdown receptions in only 3 seasons at USC, Jarrett would be able to reunite with old Trojan offensive coordinator Norm Chow in Tennessee.

20. New York Giants- CB Darrell Revis, LSU

An award for the NFL’s most maligned player in 2006 would have to include Eli Manning in its nominees. You would probably have to look to Chicago to find a quarterback that experienced as many ups and downs and Manning, as his Giants fought their way into the playoffs only to lose in the first round. The Giants offense could probably use a young playmaking wide receiver but their defense should be New York’s chief concern. While a linebacker like Puz or Big Beast could be the pick, depth at cornerback is essential for the Giants. Darrell Revis posted a strong junior season and has now asserted himself as the class’s second best corner.

21. Broncos- DE Jarvis Moss, Florida

The Broncos have been up and down on draft day the past few seasons. Last year they struck gold with quarterback Jay Cutler and defensive end Elvis Dumervil, but picks like Maurice Clarett and Willie Middlebrooks didn’t work out in previous seasons. Denver will probably look to use its first pick on defense, either an inside linebacker, defensive end, or safety. Jarvis Moss would be a good fit here and could team up with Dumervil as one of the league’s premier set of young, edge rushing defensive ends. Moss’ dominance in the national championship means he could be gone by the time this pick comes around, so fellow Gator Reggie Nelson is also an option.

22. Cowboys- G Justin Blaylock, Texas

A botched field goal attempt in the playoffs overshadowed a pretty good season by the Cowboys. Tony Romo emerged as legit quarterback and Demarcus Ware established himself as one of the league’s top pass rushing linebackers. The Cowboys were notorious for drafting defensive players in the first round under Bill Parcells and could continue to go that route under Wade Phillips. But their offensive line needs upgrading and Justin Blaylock is one of the top linemen in the class. Versatile enough to play guard or tackle, Blaylock was a key component to the 2006 Longhorns national championship team. Florida’s Reggie Nelson would immediately upgrade the secondary and could also be the pick.

23. Chiefs- CB Chris Houston, Arkansas

The Chiefs have had the same two weaknesses since Priest Holmes was running around Arrowhead Stadium: wide receiver and defense. They have focused on improving that defense during the draft, and it has provided them with some good young players. Derrick Johnson and Tamba Hali have made impacts in the front seven, so the Chiefs can now turn their attention to the secondary. Arkansas’ Chris Houston had a monster junior season and could play immediately in the Chiefs cover 2. Wideout could be the other choice with tons of options like Ted Ginn, Dwayne Jarrett, and Dwayne Bowe.

24. Patriots- S Reggie Nelson, Florida

After blowing a multiple touchdown lead in the AFC Championship, the Pats decided to go hog wild in free agency. AdaliusThomas, one of the most versatile players in football, was brought in to help the defense and Wes Welker and Donte Stallworth were added to a receiving corps that struggled to gain a repore last season with Tom Brady. One area that has been a problem the last two seasons has been the secondary. Reggie Nelson, a dude I’m really high on and think should go much earlier than this, would immediately upgrade the safety position and is the type of ballhawker New England seems to covet.

25. Jets- CB Marcus McCauley, Fresno State

There was a lot for Jets fans to be happy about in 2006. Head Coach Eric Mangini led his troops to a 10-6 record and a playoff appearance in his first season on the job. Their two first round draft picks, D’Brickshaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold, steadily improved through the year and were able to keep Chad Pennington up right for the majority of the season. Already this offseason the Jets got my guy Thomas Jones for only an exchange of second round picks with the Bears, and now should look to focus on their defense. Because they run a 3-4, linebackers will always be an option but New York could also look to improve its secondary. Had he come out after his junior year, Marcus McCauley could have been a top 10 selection (in maybe the best draft of the last 20 years). But McCauley stayed in school and saw his stock drop a little. Maybe considered a boom or bust defensive back, McCauley has the playmaking ability the Jets defense desperately need.

26. Eagles- WR Ted Ginn Jr., Ohio State

The story of the Eagles 2006 season is one of two halves: the first half with Donavan McNabb and the second half with Jeff Garcia. Garcia rallied the Eagles to a playoff birth after McNabb went down, in large part because of the coaching staff’s decision to run the ball more with Brian Westbrook. With Garcia moving on to Tampa Bay this season, Philadephia might look to supply McNabb with some more offensive weapons, and Ted Ginn Jr. would be a great addition if he were somehow still around with the 26 pick in the first round. Ginn is the fastest of stellar wide receiver class, as he was Troy Smith’s favorite target the past two seasons. If Ginn is gone, the Eagles could add another wideout or look for help at safety or linebacker.

27. Saints- WR Dwayne Bowe, LSU

The Dallas Cowboys loaned the Saints their nickname last season, as New Orleans became America’s team. The offense showed immense improvement in the first year of the Sean Payton/Drew Brees Era, and rookies like Marques Colston and Reggie Bush made immediate impacts. The Saints defense was considered a weakness going into the season, but their defensive line and linebackers overachieved, getting the team to the NFC Championship game. Still for a team that won 12 games, the Saints have plenty of weaknesses. They could use a cornerback or linebacker, and now may need a wide receiver after losing Joe Horn. Dwayne Bowe is one of the best wideouts in a very good class of receivers, and would team up with Colston and Devery Henderson to make the Saints offensive attack even more potent.

28. Patriots- LB Lawrence Timmons, Florida State

With their second of two first round picks, the Patriots could look up upgrade in a number of different areas. If a wide receiver like Jarrett, Meachem, or Bowe was available, their talent and value might be too good to pass up, even after the team added Daunte Stallworth and Wes Welker in free agency. But teams that run the 3-4 always need linebackers, and Florida State’s Lawrence Timmons would be an ideal fit as a rush linebacker. Timmons could have gone much earlier than this, and still might, but his post-season workouts have been underwhelming so far.

29. Ravens- WR Robert Meachem, Tennessee

The Ravens finally found stability at quarterback last season as veteran Steve McNair played in all 16 games. They added Willis McGahee in the offseason to refresh the running game, and now may look to give McNair more targets. Robert Meachem is quickly rising up draft boards and could be the second receiver selected. He has good speed and was productive during his three seasons at Tennessee. Another option could be an offensive lineman like Central Michigan tackle Joe Staley or USC center Ryan Kahil.

30. Chargers- S Michael Griffin, Texas

Led by a historically great season from LaDanian Tomlinson, the Chargers dominated the regular season finishing with the NFL’s best record, 14-2. It didn’t help them in the playoffs, however, as they fell to a veteran New England Patriots team in the conference semi finals. They could use a receiver but may use their first pick to fill needs in the secondary. Michael Griffin in a terrific football player from a program that has a history of producing solid defensive backs. While not the prospect his former teammate Michael Huff was, Griffin should make an immediate impact on whatever team he goes to.

31. Bears- G Aaron Sears, Tennessee

It’s a been a rough offseason for the Bears, as they lost their starting running back and now may lose two time Pro Bowl linebacker Lance Briggs. If Briggs departs, the Bears may use this pick on a linebacker if someone like Paul Posluszny is available. If not, they should look to bring youth to their offense line, where Ruben Brown and Fred Miller are both coming near the end of their careers. Tennessee’s Aaron Sears would be an ideal fit because he can play both tackle and guard, and would provide the Bears offensive line with some much needed depth. (Much more on this pick in the future.)

32. Colts- LB Rufus Alexander, Oklahoma

The Colts defense may have stepped up in the playoffs, but their regular season rankings were amongst the worst in the NFL. Having trouble stopping the run the entire season, the Colts should use most of their draft picks to focus on their front seven. Oklahoma’s Rufus Alexander would be an ideal fit in Indianapolis’ cover 2, and could contribute right away. Reminding many of Ernie Sims, Alexander plays bigger than his small frame.